La scuola delle quote

Montréal Canadiens v Toronto Maple Leafs

Inizio: 2026-03-10 23:08 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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41 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Montréal Canadiens (Casa)

Previsione 60.18%1.66quota equa
EV -2.51%
Vantaggio -1.55%
Kelly -4.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.97%60.17%60.15%61.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.451.591.601.6268.97%62.83%62.50%61.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Toronto Maple Leafs (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.82%2.51quota equa
EV -2.44%
Vantaggio -0.997%
Kelly -1.68%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.90%39.83%39.85%41.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.222.392.402.4545.05%41.93%41.67%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.51%E -1.55%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.44%E -0.997%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-10 22:25
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.51%E -1.55%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 22:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.51%E -1.55%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.51%E -1.55%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:00
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.44%E -0.997%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-10 13:00
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.24%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 22:00
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.24%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 22:00
Everygame1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.24%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-10 13:15
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 20:05
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 16:05
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.63%E -2.37%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:00
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -6.03%E -2.55%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 23:00
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 20:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:00
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-10 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.03%E -2.55%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 20:18
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 19:30
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:00
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 18:30
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 19:30
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 19:30
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.24%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-09 17:33
ReBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.24%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-10 22:20
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 16:14
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 18:20
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 22:59
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 15:40
BetMGM1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-10 22:59
Betsson1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:00
NordicBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.52%E -3.51%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.44%E -0.997%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 21:30
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.52%E -3.51%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.44%E -0.997%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 21:29
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.52%E -3.51%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-09 16:25
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.44%E -0.997%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 16:05
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 23:00
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.72%E -4.34%K -12.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-10 22:58
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 60.49%EV -12.74%E -8.79%K -28.31%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.51%EV -11.60%E -5.23%K -9.51%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-10 20:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-03-10 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-03-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-03-10 22:30
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-03-10 13:04
ProphetX1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-03-10 23:00
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-03-10 23:00
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34%1.6%2026-03-10 22:20
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-03-10 23:00
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-03-10 23:00

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-03-10 11:39
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-03-10 11:39
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-03-10 11:59
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.2%2026-03-10 21:00
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.16%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%4.3%2026-03-10 23:00
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.06%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.22%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%4.7%2026-03-10 22:59
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.73%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.66%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61%4.7%2026-03-10 22:59
Coolbet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.07%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64%5.0%2026-03-10 22:00
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-10 11:39
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-10 11:40
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-10 11:40
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%5.4%2026-03-10 11:39
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%6.5%2026-03-10 11:39
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%6.6%2026-03-10 14:35
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%7.4%2026-03-10 02:59
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%7.5%2026-03-10 11:39
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%8.7%2026-03-10 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.7%2026-03-10 23:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11%9.0%2026-03-10 23:00
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.16%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%9.3%2026-03-10 20:20
Unibet (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%9.8%2026-03-10 20:25
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.25%11.0%2026-03-10 22:54