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Montréal Canadiens v Toronto Maple Leafs
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Montréal Canadiens (Local)
Predicción 60.18%1.66momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -4.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.97%60.17%60.15%61.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.451.591.601.6268.97%62.83%62.50%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Toronto Maple Leafs (Visitante)
Predicción 39.82%2.51momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.997%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.90%39.83%39.85%41.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.222.392.402.4545.05%41.93%41.67%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Montréal Canadiens (Local): 60.18%; Toronto Maple Leafs (Visitante): 39.82%. Para Toronto Maple Leafs (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.51. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.45, con un valor esperado de -2.44%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.51%E -1.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.44%E -0.997%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-10 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.51%E -1.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.51%E -1.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.51%E -1.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.44%E -0.997%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-10 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.24%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.24%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.24%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 13:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.63%E -2.37%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -6.03%E -2.55%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.03%E -2.55%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 20:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 18:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.24%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 17:33 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.24%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 22:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.52%E -3.51%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.44%E -0.997%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 21:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.52%E -3.51%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.44%E -0.997%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 21:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.52%E -3.51%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.44%E -0.997%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 16:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.72%E -4.34%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 22:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.49%EV -12.74%E -8.79%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.51%EV -11.60%E -5.23%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-10 20:09 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 22:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 13:04 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-03-10 22:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-10 11:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-10 11:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-10 11:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-10 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.16% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.06% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.73% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.66% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.07% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 11:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 11:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 11:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 11:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 20:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 20:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.25% | 11.0% | 2026-03-10 22:54 |