L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Montréal Canadiens v Toronto Maple Leafs
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Montréal Canadiens (Local)
Prévision 60.18%1.66cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -1.55%
Kelly -4.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.97%60.17%60.15%61.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.591.601.6268.97%62.83%62.50%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Toronto Maple Leafs (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.82%2.51cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.997%
Kelly -1.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.90%39.83%39.85%41.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.222.392.402.4545.05%41.93%41.67%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -2.51%E -1.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV -2.44%E -0.997%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-03-10 22:25 |
| BetUS | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -2.51%E -1.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.51%E -1.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.51%E -1.55%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.44%E -0.997%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-10 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.24%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.24%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Everygame | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV -3.24%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-10 13:15 |
| GTbets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 20:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 16:05 |
| Bovada | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -5.63%E -2.37%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -3.11%E -1.93%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -6.03%E -2.55%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -6.03%E -2.55%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 20:18 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 18:30 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.71%E -2.32%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -8.41%E -3.66%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Caesars | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.24%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-09 17:33 |
| ReBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.24%E -1.33%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-10 22:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -3.64%E -1.50%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 16:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 18:20 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 15:40 |
| BetMGM | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| Betsson | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.31%E -2.71%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Neds | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.91%E -3.11%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.42%E -2.73%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.52%E -3.51%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.44%E -0.997%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 21:30 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.52%E -3.51%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.44%E -0.997%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 21:29 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.52%E -3.51%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.23%E -2.20%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-09 16:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -2.44%E -0.997%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 16:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -6.12%E -3.92%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.72%E -4.34%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.43%E -1.85%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 22:58 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.49%EV -12.74%E -8.79%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.51%EV -11.60%E -5.23%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-10 20:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58% | 0.2% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 0.5% | 2026-03-10 22:30 |
| Polymarket | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 13:04 |
| ProphetX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Novig | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69% | 1.6% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.6% | 2026-03-10 22:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.9% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.0% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-10 11:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-10 11:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-10 11:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.51% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 3.2% | 2026-03-10 21:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.16% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.06% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.22% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.73% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.66% | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.61% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.07% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.64% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 22:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 11:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 11:40 |
| Unibet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 11:40 |
| Casumo | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 11:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.95% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59% | 6.5% | 2026-03-10 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-03-10 14:35 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17% | 7.4% | 2026-03-10 02:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.74% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 11:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.93% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 8.7% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.11% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 23:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.16% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 20:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 20:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.20% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.55% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.25% | 11.0% | 2026-03-10 22:54 |