语言:简体中文
Montréal Canadiens v Tampa Bay Lightning
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Montréal Canadiens (主队)
预测 47.93%2.09公平赔率
EV -3.19%
优势 -1.58%
Kelly -3.13%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.02
博彩公司预测分布
47.37%48.10%47.78%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.982.002.0254.64%50.62%50.13%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Tampa Bay Lightning (客队)
预测 52.07%1.92公平赔率
EV -0.540%
优势 -0.283%
Kelly -0.593%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.91
博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.90%52.22%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.701.841.831.9158.82%54.41%54.64%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Montréal Canadiens (主队)：47.93%；Tampa Bay Lightning (客队)：52.07%。 对于“Tampa Bay Lightning (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.92。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.91，期望值为-0.540%，未产生正期望值。
有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.23%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 15:53 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 12:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 15:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 12:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 15:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.75%E -3.18%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.27%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 19:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.14%E -1.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.27%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.27%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.58%E -2.83%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -0.540%E -0.283%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -0.540%E -0.283%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 11:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.27%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.02%E -3.62%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.62%E -1.40%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.540%E -0.283%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.29%E -6.72%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.48%E -6.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (9)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 1.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28% | 2.1% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18% | 2.2% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20% | 2.7% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.65% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.99% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 19:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 23:02 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.28% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.64% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.17% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 9.2% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.91% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66% | 9.9% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32% | 12.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |