赔率学院

Montréal Canadiens v Tampa Bay Lightning

开赛时间: 2026-04-09 23:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

38 家博彩公司 (13 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Montréal Canadiens (主队)

预测 47.93%2.09公平赔率
EV -3.19%
优势 -1.58%
Kelly -3.13%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布
47.37%48.10%47.78%50.00%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.831.982.002.0254.64%50.62%50.13%49.50%MIN均值中位数MAX

Tampa Bay Lightning (客队)

预测 52.07%1.92公平赔率
EV -0.540%
优势 -0.283%
Kelly -0.593%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.90%52.22%52.63%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.701.841.831.9158.82%54.41%54.64%52.36%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(3 个赛果,而分析采用 2 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-09 22:55
DraftKings2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.23%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 15:53
ReBet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-09 22:59
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 12:19
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 13:50
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 15:55
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 15:04
Caesars2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 22:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 12:19
GTbets2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 15:05
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 15:05
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:00
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:00
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:00
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 15:59
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-09 23:05
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.75%E -3.18%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-09 16:20
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.27%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-09 19:55
MyBookie.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-09 22:59
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.14%E -1.69%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-09 22:45
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.27%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.27%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-09 23:00
BetAnything1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.58%E -2.83%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-09 20:40
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -0.540%E -0.283%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:05
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -0.540%E -0.283%K -0.593%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-09 23:05
NordicBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 22:05
Betsson1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-09 22:04
Bally Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 15:05
betPARX1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-09 15:05
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 11:44
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 22:40
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-09 21:44
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.27%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-09 22:55
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.02%E -3.62%K -7.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.62%E -1.40%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-09 15:05
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.540%E -0.283%K -0.593%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-09 23:00
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-09 23:05
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.29%E -6.72%K -14.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.48%E -6.75%K -16.39%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-09 22:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (9)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-09 19:00
Polymarket2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-04-09 19:00
Novig2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65%1.4%2026-04-09 23:05
BetOpenly2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28%2.1%2026-04-09 22:59
ProphetX2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18%2.2%2026-04-09 23:05
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20%2.7%2026-04-09 23:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%3.0%2026-04-09 23:05
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%6.1%2026-04-09 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-04-09 23:05

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2选项 3利润率 ▲更新时间
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-04-09 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-04-09 15:05
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-04-09 15:05
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31%3.0%2026-04-09 20:04
Marathon Bet2.59I 38.61%NM 36.88%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.65%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47%4.7%2026-04-09 22:59
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14%4.8%2026-04-09 22:59
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-04-09 15:05
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-04-09 15:05
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-04-09 15:05
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%5.2%2026-04-09 15:05
Coolbet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%5.3%2026-04-09 22:50
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.99%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%5.3%2026-04-09 23:04
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%6.1%2026-04-09 15:05
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%6.9%2026-04-09 19:59
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%7.2%2026-04-09 15:05
Betclic (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%7.8%2026-04-09 23:02
Betway2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82%7.8%2026-04-09 23:05
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%8.5%2026-04-09 22:49
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.28%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%8.8%2026-04-09 23:05
Codere (IT)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.64%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.17%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19%9.2%2026-04-09 23:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.91%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%9.9%2026-04-09 23:05
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%12.0%2026-04-09 15:05