L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Montréal Canadiens v Tampa Bay Lightning
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Montréal Canadiens (Local)
Prévision 47.93%2.09cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -1.58%
Kelly -3.13%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.02
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.37%48.10%47.78%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.982.002.0254.64%50.62%50.13%49.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Tampa Bay Lightning (Visiteur)
Prévision 52.07%1.92cote équitable
EV -0.540%
Avantage -0.283%
Kelly -0.593%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%51.90%52.22%52.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.841.831.9158.82%54.41%54.64%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.23%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 15:53 |
| ReBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 12:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 15:04 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 12:19 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 15:59 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.75%E -3.18%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.27%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 19:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.14%E -1.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.27%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.27%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.58%E -2.83%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -0.540%E -0.283%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -0.540%E -0.283%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:05 |
| Betsson | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 11:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 22:40 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.27%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.02%E -3.62%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.62%E -1.40%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.540%E -0.283%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.29%E -6.72%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.48%E -6.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Polymarket | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Novig | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 1.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28% | 2.1% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| ProphetX | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18% | 2.2% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20% | 2.7% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.65% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.99% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 19:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 23:02 |
| Betway | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.28% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.64% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.17% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 9.2% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.91% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66% | 9.9% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32% | 12.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |