Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Montréal Canadiens v Tampa Bay Lightning
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Montréal Canadiens (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 47.93%2.09kurs godziwy
EV -3.19%
Przewaga -1.58%
Kelly -3.13%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.02
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.37%48.10%47.78%50.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.831.982.002.0254.64%50.62%50.13%49.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Tampa Bay Lightning (Goście)
Prognoza 52.07%1.92kurs godziwy
EV -0.540%
Przewaga -0.283%
Kelly -0.593%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.91
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.00%51.90%52.22%52.63%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.701.841.831.9158.82%54.41%54.64%52.36%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
22 bukmacherów oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (38 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.19%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.23%E -2.87%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 15:53 |
| ReBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 12:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 15:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 15:04 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 22:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 12:19 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 15:59 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -5.75%E -3.18%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 16:20 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.15%E -2.07%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.27%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-09 19:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.63%E -2.32%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.14%E -1.69%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
| Neds | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.27%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.11%E -2.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.27%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.58%E -2.83%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 20:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -0.540%E -0.283%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.35%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.65%EV -0.540%E -0.283%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:05 |
| Betsson | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -6.06%E -3.09%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -4.19%E -2.27%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-09 22:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| betPARX | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.10%E -1.12%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 11:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 22:40 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.66%E -1.98%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 21:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.54%E -3.36%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.27%E -3.48%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-09 22:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.02%E -3.62%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -2.62%E -1.40%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.540%E -0.283%K -0.593%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.46%E -4.43%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.71%E -2.57%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.16%EV -12.29%E -6.72%K -14.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.84%EV -11.48%E -6.75%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-09 22:45 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (9)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Polymarket | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 19:00 |
| Novig | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.35% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.65% | 1.4% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| BetOpenly | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.72% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.28% | 2.1% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| ProphetX | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.82% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.18% | 2.2% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.80% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.20% | 2.7% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (22)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.07% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.62% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.31% | 3.0% | 2026-04-09 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.88% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.65% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.47% | 4.7% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.27% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.60% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.14% | 4.8% | 2026-04-09 22:59 |
| Unibet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Casumo | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.02% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.61% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37% | 5.2% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Coolbet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.96% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.99% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59% | 5.3% | 2026-04-09 23:04 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.99% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43% | 6.1% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81% | 6.9% | 2026-04-09 19:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.08% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21% | 7.2% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 23:02 |
| Betway | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.32% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.82% | 7.8% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-04-09 22:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.28% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88% | 8.8% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.64% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.17% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.19% | 9.2% | 2026-04-09 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.91% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66% | 9.9% | 2026-04-09 23:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32% | 12.0% | 2026-04-09 15:05 |