A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Montréal Canadiens v Tampa Bay Lightning
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Montréal Canadiens (Local)
Previsão 47.95%2.09odd justa
EV -1.22%
Vantagem -0.593%
Kelly -1.15%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.14%48.06%47.78%49.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.851.982.002.0654.05%50.43%50.00%48.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Tampa Bay Lightning (Visitante)
Previsão 52.05%1.92odd justa
EV -1.63%
Vantagem -0.860%
Kelly -1.83%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.89
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.52%51.94%52.22%52.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.831.831.8959.52%54.56%54.64%52.91%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
21 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.
Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.22%E -0.593%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.18%E -1.07%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| BetAnything | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.66%E -1.31%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 22:49 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -3.62%E -1.80%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-01 22:58 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -3.62%E -1.80%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-01 22:54 |
| ReBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.62%E -1.80%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-01 22:50 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 21:14 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 21:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 21:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 22:30 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 21:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 22:30 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 21:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 21:05 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.58%E -2.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 21:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 22:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 22:25 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 22:30 |
| Bovada | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.54%E -2.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 21:15 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 21:14 |
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -7.46%E -3.86%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -1.63%E -0.860%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 22:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.41%E -4.41%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -12.56%E -7.47%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-01 21:04 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (9)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| Novig | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.62% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| ProphetX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 21:55 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| BetOpenly | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-05-01 22:54 |
Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (21)
Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.
| Casa de apostas | Opção 1 | Opção 2 | Opção 3 | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.38% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.38% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.38% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.38% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.67% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.98% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.20% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.89% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.89% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Coolbet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 23:03 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.53% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.02% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 22:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 21:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.47% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 23:03 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |