Szkoła KursówPolski
Montréal Canadiens v Tampa Bay Lightning
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Montréal Canadiens (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 47.95%2.09kurs godziwy
EV -1.22%
Przewaga -0.593%
Kelly -1.15%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.06
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
47.14%48.06%47.78%49.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.851.982.002.0654.05%50.43%50.00%48.54%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Tampa Bay Lightning (Goście)
Prognoza 52.05%1.92kurs godziwy
EV -1.63%
Przewaga -0.860%
Kelly -1.83%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.89
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
50.52%51.94%52.22%52.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.681.831.831.8959.52%54.56%54.64%52.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
21 bukmacherów oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (37 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -1.22%E -0.593%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -2.18%E -1.07%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -5.27%E -2.90%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| BetAnything | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -2.66%E -1.31%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -5.79%E -3.20%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 22:49 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.14%E -1.55%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -3.62%E -1.80%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-01 22:58 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.20%EV -3.62%E -1.80%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.80%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-01 22:54 |
| ReBet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.93%EV -3.62%E -1.80%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.07%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-01 22:50 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 21:14 |
| Bet Right | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-01 21:15 |
| DraftKings | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 21:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 21:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 22:30 |
| Caesars | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 21:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 22:30 |
| GTbets | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 21:04 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 21:05 |
| Fliff | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.10%E -2.05%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.58%E -2.30%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 21:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 22:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 22:25 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.06%E -2.55%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 22:30 |
| Bovada | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.54%E -2.81%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.02%E -3.07%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.67%E -1.43%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.71%E -2.00%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 21:15 |
| Neds | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.50%E -3.33%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-01 21:14 |
| BetUS | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -7.46%E -3.86%K -8.02%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -1.63%E -0.860%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-01 22:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.41%E -4.41%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.75%E -2.60%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -8.89%E -4.68%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -6.31%E -3.51%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.59%EV -11.29%E -6.10%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.41%EV -12.56%E -7.47%K -18.47%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-01 21:04 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (9)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| Novig | 2.09I 47.85%NM 47.62% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.38% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| ProphetX | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26% | 0.7% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 21:55 |
| Polymarket | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 21:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| BetOpenly | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91% | 1.9% | 2026-05-01 22:54 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (21)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.38% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.38% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.38% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.38% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.88% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73% | 2.8% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.35% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.67% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 22.98% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 22:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.20% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.49% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.31% | 4.6% | 2026-05-01 22:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.89% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.29% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.89% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Coolbet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.12% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.42% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.46% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 21:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.25% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.58% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17% | 5.3% | 2026-05-01 23:03 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.94% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| TABtouch | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.53% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54% | 6.2% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.02% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81% | 6.3% | 2026-05-01 22:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42% | 6.8% | 2026-05-01 21:09 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.09% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24% | 7.1% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.47% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.91% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 23:03 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-05-01 23:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78% | 12.1% | 2026-05-01 23:05 |