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Montréal Canadiens v Florida Panthers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montréal Canadiens (Local)
Prediction 70.89%1.41fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -5.72%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.16%70.80%70.97%72.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.351.361.3880.00%74.12%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Florida Panthers (Visit)
Prediction 29.11%3.44fair odd
EV +0.433%
Edge +0.126%
Kelly +0.177%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%29.20%29.03%30.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.973.253.273.4533.67%30.79%30.58%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montréal Canadiens (Local): 70.89%; Florida Panthers (Visit): 29.11%. For Florida Panthers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.433%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.433%E +0.126%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-04-07 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV -0.731%E -0.214%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-07 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV -0.731%E -0.214%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-07 22:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV -0.731%E -0.214%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.02%E -0.301%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.02%E -0.301%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 22:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.02%E -0.301%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 22:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.02%E -0.301%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 22:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.48%E -0.740%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 22:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.48%E -0.740%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 22:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.48%E -0.740%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 22:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.48%E -0.740%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 22:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -2.77%E -0.829%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 22:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 22:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.30%E -3.19%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.30%E -3.19%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 22:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 22:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -4.52%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.10%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 22:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 22:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 19:31 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 19:31 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 19:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.19%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 22:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -8.01%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -8.01%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 22:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.17%E -1.57%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.17%E -1.57%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.17%E -1.57%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 22:43 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 22:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -11.21%E -3.68%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 19:31 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -11.21%E -3.68%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 19:31 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.38%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.56%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.62%EV -13.54%E -4.56%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-07 22:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89% | 2.6% | 2026-04-07 22:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 18:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.90% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 22:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.20% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.04% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.76% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 22:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 19:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 19:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 19:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 19:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 19:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.61% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.83% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.75% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05% | 8.4% | 2026-04-07 19:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16% | 8.7% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82% | 9.1% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93% | 9.8% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.73% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16% | 12.8% | 2026-04-07 19:09 |