La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Montréal Canadiens v Florida Panthers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Montréal Canadiens (Local)
Predicción 70.89%1.41momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -5.72%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.16%70.80%70.97%72.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.351.361.3880.00%74.12%73.53%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Florida Panthers (Visitante)
Predicción 29.11%3.44momio equitativo
EV +0.433%
Ventaja +0.126%
Kelly +0.177%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.97%29.20%29.03%30.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.973.253.273.4533.67%30.79%30.58%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.433%E +0.126%K +0.177%G +0.001% | 3.6% | 2026-04-07 22:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV -0.731%E -0.214%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-07 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV -0.731%E -0.214%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-07 22:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV -0.731%E -0.214%K -0.303%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.02%E -0.301%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| BetUS | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.02%E -0.301%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 22:25 |
| Caesars | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.02%E -0.301%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 22:25 |
| BetAnything | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.02%E -0.301%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-07 22:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.48%E -0.740%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 22:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.48%E -0.740%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 22:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.48%E -0.740%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 22:29 |
| GTbets | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.48%E -0.740%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-07 22:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -2.77%E -0.829%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 22:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 22:25 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-07 22:43 |
| Fanatics | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.30%E -3.19%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 22:24 |
| FanDuel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.30%E -3.19%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-07 22:29 |
| Fliff | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-07 22:44 |
| ReBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -4.52%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.10%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 22:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-07 22:49 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 19:31 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 19:31 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 19:31 |
| PlayUp | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.19%K -12.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 22:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -8.01%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| Betsson | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -8.01%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-07 22:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.17%E -1.57%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 17:15 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.17%E -1.57%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:50 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.17%E -1.57%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 18:49 |
| William Hill | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 22:43 |
| TAB | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-07 22:45 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -11.21%E -3.68%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 19:31 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -11.21%E -3.68%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-07 19:31 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.38%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.56%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.62%EV -13.54%E -4.56%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 0.9% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.0% | 2026-04-07 23:00 |
| ProphetX | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 1.4% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87% | 1.9% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-07 22:45 |
| Novig | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42% | 2.0% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| BetOpenly | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89% | 2.6% | 2026-04-07 22:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87% | 3.4% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64% | 3.2% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 18:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 18:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 20:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17% | 3.3% | 2026-04-07 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.90% | 4.7% | 2026-04-07 22:35 |
| 1xBet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.20% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.04% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.76% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 22:54 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| Unibet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 19:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 19:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 19:09 |
| Casumo | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95% | 5.5% | 2026-04-07 19:09 |
| TABtouch | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05% | 6.1% | 2026-04-07 19:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37% | 6.7% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.61% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.83% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44% | 8.3% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.75% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05% | 8.4% | 2026-04-07 19:09 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43% | 8.5% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16% | 8.7% | 2026-04-07 23:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82% | 9.1% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93% | 9.8% | 2026-04-07 22:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.73% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16% | 12.8% | 2026-04-07 19:09 |