L’École des cotes

Montréal Canadiens v Florida Panthers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-07 23:07 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Montréal Canadiens (Local)

Prévision 70.89%1.41cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.57%
Kelly -5.72%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.16%70.80%70.97%72.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.351.361.3880.00%74.12%73.53%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Florida Panthers (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.11%3.44cote équitable
EV +0.433%
Avantage +0.126%
Kelly +0.177%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.97%29.20%29.03%30.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.973.253.273.4533.67%30.79%30.58%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Everygame1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.433%E +0.126%K +0.177%G +0.001%3.6%2026-04-07 22:30
LowVig.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV -0.731%E -0.214%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-07 22:55
BetOnline.ag1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV -0.731%E -0.214%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-07 22:55
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.49%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.51%EV -0.731%E -0.214%K -0.303%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-07 23:05
theScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.02%E -0.301%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 23:05
BetUS1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -1.02%E -0.301%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 22:25
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.02%E -0.301%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:25
BetAnything1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.02%E -0.301%K -0.426%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-07 22:24
DraftKings1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.48%E -0.740%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 22:24
Paddy Power1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.48%E -0.740%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 22:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.48%E -0.740%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 22:29
GTbets1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.48%E -0.740%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-07 22:24
SportsBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.52%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.48%EV -2.77%E -0.829%K -1.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 22:45
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 22:25
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-07 22:43
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.30%E -3.19%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 22:24
FanDuel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.30%E -3.19%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-07 22:29
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.93%E -1.19%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-07 22:44
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.69%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.31%EV -4.52%E -1.38%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 22:50
MyBookie.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.01%E -3.74%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -5.10%E -1.56%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:49
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -5.39%E -1.66%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-07 22:49
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 19:31
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 19:31
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 19:31
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-07 22:50
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.30%E -3.19%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.84%E -2.14%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 22:24
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -8.01%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 22:50
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.91%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.09%EV -8.01%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-07 22:49
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.17%E -1.57%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 17:15
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.17%E -1.57%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 18:50
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.17%E -1.57%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-07 18:49
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 22:43
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 22:45
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 23:04
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.72%E -4.30%K -17.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.76%E -3.15%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-07 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -11.21%E -3.68%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 19:31
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.59%E -2.64%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -11.21%E -3.68%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-07 19:31
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.38%EV -11.39%E -9.11%K -45.56%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.62%EV -13.54%E -4.56%K -6.87%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-07 23:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-04-07 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-04-07 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-04-07 23:00
ProphetX1.38I 72.46%NM 71.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57%1.4%2026-04-07 23:05
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-04-07 23:05
Kalshi1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-07 22:45
Novig1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-04-07 23:05
BetOpenly1.39I 71.94%NM 70.11%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.89%2.6%2026-04-07 22:45
Smarkets1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%3.4%2026-04-07 23:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%3.2%2026-04-07 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%3.3%2026-04-07 18:35
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%3.3%2026-04-07 18:35
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%3.3%2026-04-07 20:05
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%3.3%2026-04-07 18:35
Marathon Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.90%4.7%2026-04-07 22:35
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.20%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.04%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.76%4.8%2026-04-07 22:54
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%5.1%2026-04-07 22:50
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%5.5%2026-04-07 19:09
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%5.5%2026-04-07 19:09
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%5.5%2026-04-07 19:09
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.51%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.54%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.95%5.5%2026-04-07 19:09
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.42%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%6.1%2026-04-07 19:09
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.69%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%6.7%2026-04-07 22:50
Unibet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.61%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.81%8.0%2026-04-07 22:50
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.83%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%8.3%2026-04-07 23:05
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 58.75%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%8.4%2026-04-07 19:09
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%8.5%2026-04-07 23:05
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.95%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.16%8.7%2026-04-07 23:05
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.82%9.1%2026-04-07 22:50
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.37%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.93%9.8%2026-04-07 22:50
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.73%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%12.8%2026-04-07 19:09