The School of Odds
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Montréal Canadiens v Columbus Blue Jackets

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 23:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Montréal Canadiens (Local)

Prediction 54.80%1.82fair odd
EV -2.45%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -3.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.95%54.94%54.93%56.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.741.741.7862.50%57.59%57.47%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Columbus Blue Jackets (Visit)

Prediction 45.20%2.21fair odd
EV +0.339%
Edge +0.153%
Kelly +0.278%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.22%45.06%45.07%46.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.112.102.2251.28%47.45%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montréal Canadiens (Local): 54.80%; Columbus Blue Jackets (Visit): 45.20%. For Columbus Blue Jackets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.339%.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -7.38%E -4.37%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV +0.339%E +0.153%K +0.278%G +0.001%4.2%2026-04-11 23:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -1.02%E -0.464%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 23:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -1.02%E -0.464%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 23:10
Pinnacle🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.45%E -1.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.92%E -0.885%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 23:06
BetRivers🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.92%E -0.885%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:57
Bet Right🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 23:10
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 23:09
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 23:08
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 23:09
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:09
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:09
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 23:10
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 23:10
ReBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.73%E -1.75%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:59
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.18%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.18%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.00%E -1.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.00%E -1.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:10
Everygame🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.00%E -1.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.00%E -1.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.00%E -1.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:09
FanDuel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.55%E -2.02%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 23:10
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 23:10
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 23:10
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 23:10
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -6.44%E -3.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 23:10
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -6.44%E -3.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 23:10
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 23:01
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:09
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 23:10
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 23:07
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 23:07
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 23:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.93%EV -12.32%E -7.70%K -20.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -11.86%E -6.08%K -12.49%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-11 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Novig◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%1.4%2026-04-11 23:10
ProphetX◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%1.4%2026-04-11 23:10
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-04-11 23:10
BetOpenly◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-04-11 22:59
Smarkets◎1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%2.8%2026-04-11 23:10
Matchbook◎1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%6.8%2026-04-11 23:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%3.3%2026-04-11 23:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%3.3%2026-04-11 23:09
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%3.3%2026-04-11 23:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%3.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Coolbet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.53%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%4.4%2026-04-11 23:06
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-11 23:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.24%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-04-11 22:59
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.55%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.43%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02%4.9%2026-04-11 22:59
Unibet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
Grosvenor🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%5.0%2026-04-11 23:09
Unibet (NL)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%5.0%2026-04-11 23:09
Casumo🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.94%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%6.3%2026-04-11 23:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%6.6%2026-04-11 23:10
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-04-11 23:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%7.5%2026-04-11 23:08
LeoVegas🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%7.7%2026-04-11 23:09
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-04-11 22:58
Codere (IT)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.84%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%9.1%2026-04-11 23:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%9.2%2026-04-11 23:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%9.4%2026-04-11 23:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.06%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71%12.4%2026-04-11 23:10