La scuola delle quote

Montréal Canadiens v Columbus Blue Jackets

Inizio: 2026-04-11 23:15 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Montréal Canadiens (Casa)

Previsione 54.80%1.82quota equa
EV -2.45%
Vantaggio -1.38%
Kelly -3.14%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.78

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.95%54.94%54.93%56.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.601.741.741.7862.50%57.59%57.47%56.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Columbus Blue Jackets (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.20%2.21quota equa
EV +0.339%
Vantaggio +0.153%
Kelly +0.278%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.22

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.22%45.06%45.07%46.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.112.102.2251.28%47.45%47.62%45.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -7.38%E -4.37%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV +0.339%E +0.153%K +0.278%G +0.001%4.2%2026-04-11 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -1.02%E -0.464%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 23:09
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -1.02%E -0.464%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 23:10
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.45%E -1.38%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.92%E -0.885%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-11 23:06
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.92%E -0.885%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-11 22:57
Bet Right1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 23:10
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 23:09
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 23:08
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 23:09
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:09
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 23:09
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 23:10
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 23:10
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.73%E -1.75%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 22:59
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.18%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
MyBookie.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.18%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 23:00
Paddy Power1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.00%E -1.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.00%E -1.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:10
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.00%E -1.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.00%E -1.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:10
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.00%E -1.70%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 23:09
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.55%E -2.02%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 23:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 23:00
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 23:10
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 23:10
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 23:10
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -6.44%E -3.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 23:10
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -6.44%E -3.11%K -6.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 23:10
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 23:10
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 23:01
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 23:09
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 23:10
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 23:07
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 23:07
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 23:10
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.93%EV -12.32%E -7.70%K -20.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -11.86%E -6.08%K -12.49%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 23:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-11 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%1.4%2026-04-11 23:10
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%1.4%2026-04-11 23:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-04-11 23:10
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44%2.3%2026-04-11 22:59
Smarkets1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%2.8%2026-04-11 23:10
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%6.8%2026-04-11 23:10

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%3.3%2026-04-11 23:09
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%3.3%2026-04-11 23:09
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%3.3%2026-04-11 23:09
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%3.3%2026-04-11 23:10
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.53%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27%4.4%2026-04-11 23:06
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-04-11 23:09
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.24%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.6%2026-04-11 22:59
1xBet2.19I 45.66%NM 43.55%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.43%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02%4.9%2026-04-11 22:59
Unibet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
Grosvenor2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%5.0%2026-04-11 23:09
Unibet (NL)2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%5.0%2026-04-11 23:09
Casumo2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%5.0%2026-04-11 23:10
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 43.94%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%6.3%2026-04-11 23:09
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%6.6%2026-04-11 23:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40%6.8%2026-04-11 23:10
Betclic (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%7.5%2026-04-11 23:08
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84%7.7%2026-04-11 23:09
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%7.9%2026-04-11 22:58
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.84%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21%9.1%2026-04-11 23:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%9.2%2026-04-11 23:10
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%9.4%2026-04-11 23:10
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.06%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71%12.4%2026-04-11 23:10