L’École des cotesFrançais
Montréal Canadiens v Columbus Blue Jackets
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Montréal Canadiens (Local)
Prévision 54.80%1.82cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -3.14%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.78
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.95%54.94%54.93%56.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.741.741.7862.50%57.59%57.47%56.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Columbus Blue Jackets (Visiteur)
Prévision 45.20%2.21cote équitable
EV +0.339%
Avantage +0.153%
Kelly +0.278%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 2.22
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.22%45.06%45.07%46.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.112.102.2251.28%47.45%47.62%45.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -7.38%E -4.37%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV +0.339%E +0.153%K +0.278%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -1.02%E -0.464%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -1.02%E -0.464%K -0.854%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.45%E -1.38%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.92%E -0.885%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 23:06 |
| BetRivers | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -1.92%E -0.885%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 22:57 |
| Bet Right | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 23:08 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.84%E -4.02%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.82%E -1.31%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| betPARX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.28%E -1.53%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| ReBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.73%E -1.75%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| GTbets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.18%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.18%E -1.97%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.00%E -1.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.00%E -1.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Everygame | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.00%E -1.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.00%E -1.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.00%E -1.70%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| FanDuel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.55%E -2.02%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.29%E -3.68%K -8.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.08%E -2.42%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.99%E -2.88%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -6.44%E -3.11%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -6.44%E -3.11%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.10%E -2.34%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 23:01 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.64%E -2.67%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 23:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 23:07 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.19%E -3.00%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.34%E -3.58%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.93%EV -12.32%E -7.70%K -20.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -11.86%E -6.08%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86% | 1.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Novig | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| BetOpenly | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.56% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.44% | 2.3% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| Smarkets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04% | 2.8% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.53% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.27% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 23:06 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.76% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.24% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 34.01% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.6% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.55% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.43% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 22:59 |
| Unibet | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Grosvenor | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Casumo | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.09% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.01% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.94% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.55% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 23:08 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.78% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.38% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.84% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 23:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 22:58 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.84% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.21% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 23:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.53% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30% | 9.4% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.06% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.23% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.71% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 23:10 |