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Montréal Canadiens v Carolina Hurricanes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Montréal Canadiens (Local)
Prediction 42.68%2.34fair odd
EV +1.57%
Edge +0.659%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.35%42.86%42.60%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.232.252.3848.78%44.76%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Carolina Hurricanes (Visit)
Prediction 57.32%1.74fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%57.14%57.40%59.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.671.681.7165.79%59.96%59.52%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Montréal Canadiens (Local): 42.68%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visit): 57.32%. For Montréal Canadiens (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.57%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +1.57%E +0.659%K +1.14%G +0.018% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +1.57%E +0.659%K +1.14%G +0.018% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.85%E -0.802%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.85%E -0.802%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.27%E -0.992%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.27%E -0.992%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.27%E -0.992%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.27%E -0.992%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.70%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.84%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 23:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.55%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.55%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 00:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 14:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.41%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.83%E -2.17%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.26%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 23:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.69%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 23:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.97%E -3.20%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.97%E -3.20%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.25%E -3.84%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 00:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.38%E -4.94%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -10.38%E -4.94%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -12.87%E -8.47%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.51%E -6.10%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 00:08 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-05-27 03:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.97% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.44% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.85% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.42% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.82% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.21% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.16% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09% | 8.3% | 2026-05-27 23:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95% | 8.5% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.46% | 12.7% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |