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Montréal Canadiens v Carolina Hurricanes
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Montréal Canadiens (Local)
Predicción 42.68%2.34momio equitativo
EV +1.57%
Ventaja +0.659%
Kelly +1.14%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.35%42.86%42.60%45.33%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.232.252.3848.78%44.76%44.44%42.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Carolina Hurricanes (Visitante)
Predicción 57.32%1.74momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -2.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.67%57.14%57.40%59.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.521.671.681.7165.79%59.96%59.52%58.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Montréal Canadiens (Local): 42.68%; Carolina Hurricanes (Visitante): 57.32%. Para Montréal Canadiens (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.34. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.38, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.57%.
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +1.57%E +0.659%K +1.14%G +0.018% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +1.57%E +0.659%K +1.14%G +0.018% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.85%E -0.802%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.85%E -0.802%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.51%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.27%E -0.992%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.27%E -0.992%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.27%E -0.992%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.27%E -0.992%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.70%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.84%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 23:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.55%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.55%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-28 00:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 14:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.41%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.83%E -2.17%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.26%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 23:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.69%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 23:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 23:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.97%E -3.20%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.97%E -3.20%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.25%E -3.84%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 00:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.38%E -4.94%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -10.38%E -4.94%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -12.87%E -8.47%K -24.74%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.51%E -6.10%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 00:08 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-05-27 03:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.97% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.44% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.85% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.42% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.84% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.82% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.21% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.16% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 00:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89% | 7.5% | 2026-05-28 00:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09% | 8.3% | 2026-05-27 23:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95% | 8.5% | 2026-05-28 00:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.46% | 12.7% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |