L’École des cotes

Montréal Canadiens v Carolina Hurricanes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 00:15 UTC

Score final : Montréal Canadiens 0–4 Carolina Hurricanes

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Montréal Canadiens (Local)

Prévision 42.68%2.34cote équitable
EV +1.57%
Avantage +0.659%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.35%42.86%42.60%45.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.232.252.3848.78%44.76%44.44%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Carolina Hurricanes (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.32%1.74cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -2.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.67%57.14%57.40%59.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.671.681.7165.79%59.96%59.52%58.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +1.57%E +0.659%K +1.14%G +0.018%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 23:59
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV +1.57%E +0.659%K +1.14%G +0.018%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -7.71%E -4.79%K -12.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 23:59
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.85%E -0.802%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 23:40
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.85%E -0.802%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.13%E -4.40%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 00:09
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -2.27%E -0.992%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-27 23:40
LowVig.ag2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.27%E -0.992%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-28 00:00
BetOnline.ag2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -2.27%E -0.992%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.68%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-28 00:00
BetUS2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -2.27%E -0.992%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-28 00:09
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -2.70%E -1.18%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.84%E -2.92%K -7.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 23:39
BetAnything2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -3.55%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-28 00:09
Caesars2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.55%E -1.57%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-28 00:08
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-28 00:10
GTbets2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-27 23:59
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-28 00:09
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-27 23:40
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 00:00
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.27%E -2.56%K -6.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 00:00
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 14:49
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.98%E -1.77%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 00:09
DraftKings2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.41%E -1.97%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 23:59
ReBet2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -4.83%E -2.17%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 23:59
FanDuel2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -5.26%E -2.37%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 23:39
MyBookie.ag2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -5.69%E -2.57%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.81%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 23:59
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 23:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.12%E -1.85%K -4.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 23:40
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 23:39
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 00:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.11%E -2.78%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.42%E -3.28%K -8.33%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 00:00
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.97%E -3.20%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:09
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.97%E -3.20%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 00:09
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -8.25%E -3.84%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.70%E -2.20%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 00:08
Hard Rock Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -10.38%E -4.94%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -1.98%E -1.16%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 00:10
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -10.38%E -4.94%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.01%EV -12.87%E -8.47%K -24.74%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-28 00:00
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.51%E -6.10%K -11.92%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.55%E -1.50%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 00:08
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-28 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-28 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-05-28 00:10
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-05-28 00:10
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-05-28 00:10
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-05-28 00:10
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-05-27 03:40
BetOpenly2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-05-27 23:59
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-05-28 00:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-05-28 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-05-28 00:00
ATG (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-05-28 00:00
Svenska Spel3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.03%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%3.1%2026-05-28 00:00
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 34.24%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.79%4.3%2026-05-28 00:10
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 31.44%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.85%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%4.6%2026-05-27 23:40
Coolbet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.32%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.93%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.75%4.7%2026-05-27 23:40
1xBet3.14I 31.85%NM 30.42%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.06%4.7%2026-05-27 23:59
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.60%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%5.6%2026-05-27 23:59
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%5.8%2026-05-28 00:00
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%5.8%2026-05-27 23:59
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%5.8%2026-05-27 23:59
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.26%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.82%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%6.1%2026-05-28 00:10
Betclic (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.21%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.16%6.2%2026-05-28 00:09
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.3%2026-05-27 23:59
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-05-28 00:00
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.82%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.89%7.5%2026-05-28 00:09
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.00%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%7.9%2026-05-27 23:59
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%8.3%2026-05-27 23:49
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%8.5%2026-05-28 00:10
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.46%12.7%2026-05-27 23:59