语言:简体中文
Montréal Canadiens v Buffalo Sabres
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Montréal Canadiens (主队)
预测 61.17%1.63公平赔率
EV -2.74%
优势 -1.73%
Kelly -4.65%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.59
博彩公司预测分布
60.30%61.16%61.04%62.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.561.571.5966.67%63.98%63.69%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
Buffalo Sabres (客队)
预测 38.83%2.58公平赔率
EV -0.977%
优势 -0.383%
Kelly -0.630%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.55
博彩公司预测分布
37.96%38.84%38.96%39.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.462.452.5543.48%40.68%40.82%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Montréal Canadiens (主队)：61.17%；Buffalo Sabres (客队)：38.83%。 对于“Buffalo Sabres (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.58。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.55，期望值为-0.977%，未产生正期望值。
有 18 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.74%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.36%E -0.537%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.74%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -3.36%E -2.12%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -1.75%E -0.693%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.36%E -2.12%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.53%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.36%E -2.12%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 00:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.75%E -0.693%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.69%E -1.49%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.69%E -1.49%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -4.08%E -1.65%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -4.08%E -1.65%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 00:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.977%E -0.383%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.25%E -2.15%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.02%E -2.49%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.02%E -2.49%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.80%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.41%E -4.19%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.68%E -4.65%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 00:14 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Novig◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (18)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 00:02 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.29% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 00:13 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.39% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 00:02 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.87% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |