Szkoła KursówJęzyk:Polski
Montréal Canadiens v Buffalo Sabres
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Montréal Canadiens (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 61.17%1.63kurs godziwy
EV -2.74%
Przewaga -1.73%
Kelly -4.65%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.59
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
60.30%61.16%61.04%62.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.561.571.5966.67%63.98%63.69%62.89%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Buffalo Sabres (Goście)
Prognoza 38.83%2.58kurs godziwy
EV -0.977%
Przewaga -0.383%
Kelly -0.630%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 2.55
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.96%38.84%38.96%39.70%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.302.462.452.5543.48%40.68%40.82%39.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
18 bukmacherów oferuje na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji (3-opcyjny zamiast 2-opcyjny przyjętych w analizie). Z powodu tej rozbieżności wyniki analizy należy interpretować ostrożnie.
Kursy bukmacherskie (31 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.74%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.36%E -0.537%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.74%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -3.36%E -2.12%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -1.75%E -0.693%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.36%E -2.12%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.53%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.36%E -2.12%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 00:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.75%E -0.693%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| BetAnything | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Caesars | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.69%E -1.49%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.69%E -1.49%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -4.08%E -1.65%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -4.08%E -1.65%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 00:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| betPARX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Bovada | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.977%E -0.383%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| GTbets | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.25%E -2.15%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.02%E -2.49%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:14 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.02%E -2.49%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Fliff | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.80%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.41%E -4.19%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.68%E -4.65%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-17 00:14 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (8)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Novig | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Kalshi | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.2% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Polymarket | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17% | 2.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
Inni bukmacherzy — nieuwzględnieni w analizie (18)
Ci bukmacherzy oferują na tym rynku inną liczbę opcji i zostali wykluczeni z analizy. Ich kursy podano wyłącznie informacyjnie — zasady rozliczania zakładów mogą być odmienne i powodować dodatkową niepewność.
| Bukmacher | Opcja 1 | Opcja 2 | Opcja 3 | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06% | 3.0% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Unibet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89% | 5.0% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83% | 5.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02% | 5.7% | 2026-05-17 00:02 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.73% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87% | 6.3% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96% | 7.1% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.29% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42% | 7.3% | 2026-05-17 00:13 |
| LeoVegas | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.64% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86% | 7.6% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.39% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07% | 7.8% | 2026-05-17 00:02 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.87% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81% | 11.8% | 2026-05-17 00:15 |