La scuola delle quote

Montréal Canadiens v Buffalo Sabres

Inizio: 2026-05-17 00:18 UTC

Finale: Montréal Canadiens 3–8 Buffalo Sabres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Montréal Canadiens (Casa)

Previsione 61.17%1.63quota equa
EV -2.74%
Vantaggio -1.73%
Kelly -4.65%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.30%61.16%61.04%62.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.561.571.5966.67%63.98%63.69%62.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Buffalo Sabres (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.83%2.58quota equa
EV -0.977%
Vantaggio -0.383%
Kelly -0.630%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.96%38.84%38.96%39.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.462.452.5543.48%40.68%40.82%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

18 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%EV -2.74%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%EV -1.36%E -0.537%K -0.886%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-17 00:15
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -2.74%E -1.73%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 00:15
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -3.36%E -2.12%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV -1.75%E -0.693%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-17 00:15
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -3.36%E -2.12%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -2.53%E -1.01%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-17 00:15
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.36%E -2.12%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-17 00:14
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.75%E -0.693%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-17 00:15
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-17 00:15
Caesars1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.69%E -1.49%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 00:15
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.69%E -1.49%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 00:15
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -4.08%E -1.65%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 00:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -4.08%E -1.65%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 00:15
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -4.47%E -1.82%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 00:15
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 00:15
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 00:15
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 00:14
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 00:15
betPARX1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.97%E -2.53%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-17 00:15
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.977%E -0.383%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 00:15
BetMGM1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 00:15
GTbets1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 00:15
SportsBet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -5.25%E -2.15%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 00:15
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.02%E -2.49%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 00:14
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -6.02%E -2.49%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 00:14
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.58%E -2.94%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 00:15
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 00:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 00:15
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 00:15
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.19%E -3.35%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.80%E -2.83%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 00:15
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.80%E -3.77%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.86%E -1.98%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 00:15
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.41%E -4.19%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.92%E -1.17%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 00:15
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.25%E -5.50%K -16.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.68%E -4.65%K -8.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-17 00:14
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-17 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-05-17 00:15
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-17 00:15
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-05-17 00:15
Kalshi1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.2%2026-05-17 00:15
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-17 00:15
Matchbook1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-17 00:15
Polymarket1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-05-17 00:15

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (18)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%3.0%2026-05-17 00:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%3.0%2026-05-17 00:15
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%3.0%2026-05-17 00:15
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.41%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%3.0%2026-05-17 00:15
Unibet (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%4.6%2026-05-17 00:15
Coolbet1.94I 51.55%NM 49.29%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.98%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.73%4.6%2026-05-17 00:15
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.89%5.0%2026-05-17 00:15
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83%5.3%2026-05-17 00:15
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83%5.3%2026-05-17 00:15
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.22%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.83%5.3%2026-05-17 00:15
Winamax (DE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.02%5.7%2026-05-17 00:02
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 48.73%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%6.3%2026-05-17 00:15
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.37%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%6.6%2026-05-17 00:15
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%7.1%2026-05-17 00:15
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.29%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.42%7.3%2026-05-17 00:13
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 48.64%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.50%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%7.6%2026-05-17 00:15
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.39%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.07%7.8%2026-05-17 00:02
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.87%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.81%11.8%2026-05-17 00:15