The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Los Angeles Kings v Philadelphia Flyers

Kickoff: 2026-03-20 02:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Kings (Local)

Prediction 62.33%1.60fair odd
EV -0.900%
Edge -0.566%
Kelly -1.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%62.12%62.50%63.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.541.541.5970.42%64.99%64.94%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)

Prediction 37.67%2.65fair odd
EV -0.167%
Edge -0.063%
Kelly -0.101%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.30%37.88%37.50%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.512.502.6543.48%39.80%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Kings (Local): 62.33%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visit): 37.67%. For Philadelphia Flyers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.654. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.650, with an expected value of -0.167%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -0.900%E -0.566%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 02:29
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.15%E -1.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 18:22
Pinnacle🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -2.15%E -1.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -6.19%E -2.49%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 02:20
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.15%E -1.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -6.57%E -2.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 01:34
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.15%E -1.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.34%E -4.34%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 00:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.15%E -1.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.47%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 02:35
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-20 02:25
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 02:25
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 18:39
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 18:39
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.83%E -3.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 02:30
NordicBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.83%E -3.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 02:29
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.57%E -2.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 18:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:44
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 02:14
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 16:45
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.35%E -5.81%K -10.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 02:18
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.30%E -0.495%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 02:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.30%E -0.495%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 02:24
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 02:25
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -2.43%E -0.937%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 02:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 02:28
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 02:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 02:14
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 02:25
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 02:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 02:29
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 02:29
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 02:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 02:29
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 02:24
Paddy Power🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.167%E -0.063%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 02:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.167%E -0.063%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 02:35
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.30%E -0.495%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 02:29
Fliff🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 02:29
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.30%E -0.495%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 02:35
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -1.67%E -0.641%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 02:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.03%EV -11.50%E -8.10%K -27.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.97%EV -12.60%E -5.43%K -9.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-20 02:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-03-20 02:29
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-20 02:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-20 02:34
Matchbook◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-03-20 02:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-03-20 02:34
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-03-20 02:34
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-03-20 02:35
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-20 02:30
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-03-20 02:34

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-03-19 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-03-19 18:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-03-19 18:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-03-19 18:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.33%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.37%3.9%2026-03-20 00:30
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.78%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.70%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.52%4.6%2026-03-20 02:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.96%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-03-19 20:45
Coolbet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.0%2026-03-20 00:34
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%5.3%2026-03-20 02:29
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%5.6%2026-03-20 02:29
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%5.6%2026-03-20 02:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%5.6%2026-03-20 02:29
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%6.6%2026-03-20 02:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-03-20 00:35
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%7.5%2026-03-20 02:29
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%7.7%2026-03-19 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-03-20 02:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-03-20 00:35
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.63%9.1%2026-03-20 02:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%11.1%2026-03-20 02:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.65%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%11.1%2026-03-20 02:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.86%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.85%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29%13.6%2026-03-20 02:34