L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Kings v Philadelphia Flyers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-20 02:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Kings (Local)

Prévision 62.33%1.60cote équitable
EV -0.900%
Avantage -0.566%
Kelly -1.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.74%62.12%62.50%63.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.541.541.5970.42%64.99%64.94%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Flyers (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.67%2.65cote équitable
EV -0.167%
Avantage -0.063%
Kelly -0.101%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.30%37.88%37.50%40.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.512.502.6543.48%39.80%40.00%37.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -0.900%E -0.566%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 02:29
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.15%E -1.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 18:22
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -2.15%E -1.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -6.19%E -2.49%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 02:20
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.15%E -1.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -6.57%E -2.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 01:34
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.15%E -1.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.34%E -4.34%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 00:34
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.15%E -1.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.47%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 02:35
Everygame1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-20 02:25
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 02:25
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 18:39
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 18:39
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.83%E -3.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 02:30
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.83%E -3.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 02:29
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.57%E -2.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 18:38
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:44
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 02:14
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 16:45
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.35%E -5.81%K -10.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 02:18
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.30%E -0.495%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 02:25
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.30%E -0.495%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 02:24
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 02:25
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -2.43%E -0.937%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 02:25
MyBookie.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 02:28
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 02:24
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 02:14
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 02:25
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 02:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 02:29
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 02:29
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 02:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 02:29
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 02:24
Paddy Power1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.167%E -0.063%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 02:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.167%E -0.063%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 02:35
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.30%E -0.495%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 02:29
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 02:29
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.30%E -0.495%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 02:35
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -1.67%E -0.641%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 02:34
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.03%EV -11.50%E -8.10%K -27.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.97%EV -12.60%E -5.43%K -9.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-20 02:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-03-20 02:29
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-20 02:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-20 02:34
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-03-20 02:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-03-20 02:34
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-03-20 02:34
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-03-20 02:35
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-20 02:30
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-03-20 02:34

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-03-19 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-03-19 18:39
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-03-19 18:39
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-03-19 18:39
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.33%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.37%3.9%2026-03-20 00:30
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.78%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.70%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.52%4.6%2026-03-20 02:25
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.96%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-03-19 20:45
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.0%2026-03-20 00:34
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%5.3%2026-03-20 02:29
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%5.6%2026-03-20 02:29
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%5.6%2026-03-20 02:29
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%5.6%2026-03-20 02:29
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%6.6%2026-03-20 02:29
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-03-20 00:35
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%7.5%2026-03-20 02:29
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%7.7%2026-03-19 18:39
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-03-20 02:30
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-03-20 00:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.63%9.1%2026-03-20 02:20
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%11.1%2026-03-20 02:04
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.65%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%11.1%2026-03-20 02:20
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.86%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.85%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29%13.6%2026-03-20 02:34