La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Kings v Philadelphia Flyers

Inicio: 2026-03-20 02:40 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Kings (Local)

Predicción 62.33%1.60momio equitativo
EV -0.900%
Ventaja -0.566%
Kelly -1.53%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.74%62.12%62.50%63.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.541.541.5970.42%64.99%64.94%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Flyers (Visitante)

Predicción 37.67%2.65momio equitativo
EV -0.167%
Ventaja -0.063%
Kelly -0.101%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.30%37.88%37.50%40.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.512.502.6543.48%39.80%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -0.900%E -0.566%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-20 02:29
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.15%E -1.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-19 18:22
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -2.15%E -1.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -6.19%E -2.49%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-20 02:20
ReBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -2.15%E -1.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -6.57%E -2.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 01:34
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.15%E -1.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.34%E -4.34%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-20 00:34
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -2.15%E -1.37%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -11.47%E -4.88%K -8.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 02:35
Everygame1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-20 02:25
Bet Right1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-20 02:25
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 18:39
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 18:39
Betsson1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.83%E -3.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 02:30
NordicBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -2.77%E -1.78%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -8.83%E -3.65%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 02:29
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -6.57%E -2.65%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-19 18:38
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 18:44
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-20 02:14
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 16:45
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.39%E -2.19%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.35%E -5.81%K -10.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-20 02:18
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.30%E -0.495%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 02:25
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -1.30%E -0.495%K -0.801%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-20 02:24
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-20 02:25
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.71%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.29%EV -2.43%E -0.937%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-20 02:25
MyBookie.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.02%E -2.61%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-20 02:28
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 02:24
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 02:14
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-20 02:25
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-20 02:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 02:29
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.82%E -2.33%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 02:29
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 02:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.64%E -3.03%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.70%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-20 02:29
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.26%E -3.46%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.05%E -0.789%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-20 02:24
Paddy Power1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.167%E -0.063%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 02:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.167%E -0.063%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-20 02:35
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.30%E -0.495%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-20 02:29
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-20 02:29
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -1.30%E -0.495%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 02:35
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -6.51%E -4.34%K -13.02%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -1.67%E -0.641%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-20 02:34
NetBet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.03%EV -11.50%E -8.10%K -27.37%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.97%EV -12.60%E -5.43%K -9.54%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-20 02:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.55I 64.52%NM 64.53%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.47%-0.0%2026-03-20 02:29
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-20 02:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-20 02:34
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.3%2026-03-20 02:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-03-20 02:34
Polymarket1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.8%2026-03-20 02:34
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 62.86%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.14%2.0%2026-03-20 02:35
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-03-20 02:30
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-03-20 02:34

Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)

Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.

CorredorOpción 1Opción 2Opción 3Margen ▲Actualizado
Unibet (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-03-19 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-03-19 18:39
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-03-19 18:39
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.04%3.1%2026-03-19 18:39
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 49.33%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.29%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.37%3.9%2026-03-20 00:30
1xBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.78%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.70%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.52%4.6%2026-03-20 02:25
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.96%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.58%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.46%4.8%2026-03-19 20:45
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%5.0%2026-03-20 00:34
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.09%5.3%2026-03-20 02:29
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%5.6%2026-03-20 02:29
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%5.6%2026-03-20 02:29
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%5.6%2026-03-20 02:29
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.01%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%6.6%2026-03-20 02:29
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.12%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-03-20 00:35
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%7.5%2026-03-20 02:29
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%7.7%2026-03-19 18:39
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.90%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-03-20 02:30
Codere (IT)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.8%2026-03-20 00:35
Parions Sport (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.63%9.1%2026-03-20 02:20
Betclic (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%11.1%2026-03-20 02:04
Unibet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.65%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.78%11.1%2026-03-20 02:20
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.86%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.85%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.29%13.6%2026-03-20 02:34