The School of Odds
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Florida Panthers v Detroit Red Wings

Kickoff: 2026-04-15 23:10 UTC

Final: Florida Panthers 8–1 Detroit Red Wings

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Florida Panthers (Local)

Prediction 39.54%2.53fair odd
EV +0.832%
Edge +0.326%
Kelly +0.537%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.96%39.61%39.55%42.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.402.402.5545.45%41.63%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 60.46%1.65fair odd
EV +0.360%
Edge +0.217%
Kelly +0.546%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.87%60.39%60.45%62.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.591.591.6668.97%63.04%62.89%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Florida Panthers (Local): 39.54%; Detroit Red Wings (Visit): 60.46%. For Florida Panthers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.832%.

21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +0.832%E +0.326%K +0.537%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-15 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.832%E +0.326%K +0.537%G +0.004%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-15 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.832%E +0.326%K +0.537%G +0.004%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-15 22:59
Pinnacle🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV +0.042%E +0.016%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-15 22:55
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-15 22:44
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 22:54
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 22:54
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 22:54
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.89%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 22:54
Bovada🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -2.33%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 22:48
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 22:49
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 22:44
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 22:44
Caesars🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 22:53
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 22:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 22:44
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 23:04
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 22:54
Bet Right🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 22:49
FanDuel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 22:59
SportsBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 22:59
ReBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -6.29%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 22:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:44
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:59
Betsson🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.47%E -3.19%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:04
NordicBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.47%E -3.19%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:04
MyBookie.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -8.26%E -3.56%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 22:59
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 22:09
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 22:47
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 23:03
Bally Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -9.84%E -4.32%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV +0.360%E +0.217%K +0.546%G +0.002%4.1%2026-04-15 14:55
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -9.84%E -4.32%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV +0.360%E +0.217%K +0.546%G +0.002%4.1%2026-04-15 14:55
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -9.84%E -4.32%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -0.244%E -0.148%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 14:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -13.01%E -5.91%K -10.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -12.34%E -8.51%K -27.41%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-15 22:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-04-15 22:54
Polymarket◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-04-15 22:59
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-04-15 23:05
Novig◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-04-15 23:04
Smarkets◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%1.9%2026-04-15 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.5%2026-04-15 23:04
ProphetX◎2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%3.5%2026-04-15 23:04
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%5.0%2026-04-15 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.26I 44.25%NM 40.53%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.47%9.2%2026-04-15 23:04

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%2.9%2026-04-15 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%2.9%2026-04-15 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%2.9%2026-04-15 14:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%2.9%2026-04-15 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.8%2026-04-15 22:59
1xBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%4.8%2026-04-15 22:59
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%5.1%2026-04-15 14:54
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%5.1%2026-04-15 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%5.1%2026-04-15 14:54
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%5.1%2026-04-15 14:55
Coolbet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%5.3%2026-04-15 22:59
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-04-15 22:54
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%6.6%2026-04-15 14:55
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%7.1%2026-04-15 14:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%8.5%2026-04-15 23:03
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-04-15 22:59
Codere (IT)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-04-15 22:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-04-15 22:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%9.3%2026-04-15 22:59
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%9.6%2026-04-15 22:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.30%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51%12.5%2026-04-15 16:10