L’École des cotes

Florida Panthers v Detroit Red Wings

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-15 23:10 UTC

Score final : Florida Panthers 8–1 Detroit Red Wings

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Florida Panthers (Local)

Prévision 39.54%2.53cote équitable
EV +0.832%
Avantage +0.326%
Kelly +0.537%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.96%39.61%39.55%42.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.402.402.5545.45%41.63%41.67%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Detroit Red Wings (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.46%1.65cote équitable
EV +0.360%
Avantage +0.217%
Kelly +0.546%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 1.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.87%60.39%60.45%62.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.591.591.6668.97%63.04%62.89%60.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +0.832%E +0.326%K +0.537%G +0.004%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-15 22:55
BetOnline.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.832%E +0.326%K +0.537%G +0.004%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-15 22:59
LowVig.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.832%E +0.326%K +0.537%G +0.004%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-15 22:59
Pinnacle2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV +0.042%E +0.016%K +0.027%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-15 22:55
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-15 22:44
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 22:54
GTbets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 22:54
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 23:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 22:54
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.89%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 22:54
Bovada2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -2.33%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 22:48
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-15 22:49
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 22:44
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 22:44
Caesars2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-15 22:53
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-15 22:59
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-15 22:44
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 23:04
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 22:54
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 22:54
Bet Right2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 22:49
FanDuel2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 22:59
SportsBet2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-15 22:59
ReBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -6.29%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 22:59
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:44
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 22:59
Betsson2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.47%E -3.19%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:04
NordicBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.47%E -3.19%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 23:04
MyBookie.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -8.26%E -3.56%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 22:59
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 22:09
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 22:47
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 22:59
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-15 23:03
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -9.84%E -4.32%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV +0.360%E +0.217%K +0.546%G +0.002%4.1%2026-04-15 14:55
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -9.84%E -4.32%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV +0.360%E +0.217%K +0.546%G +0.002%4.1%2026-04-15 14:55
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -9.84%E -4.32%K -7.69%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -0.244%E -0.148%K -0.376%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 14:55
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -13.01%E -5.91%K -10.84%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -12.34%E -8.51%K -27.41%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-15 22:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-04-15 22:54
Polymarket2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-04-15 22:59
Kalshi2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39%1.2%2026-04-15 23:05
Novig2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%1.2%2026-04-15 23:04
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35%1.9%2026-04-15 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98%2.5%2026-04-15 23:04
ProphetX2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40%3.5%2026-04-15 23:04
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%5.0%2026-04-15 23:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 40.53%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.47%9.2%2026-04-15 23:04

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%2.9%2026-04-15 14:55
Unibet (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%2.9%2026-04-15 14:55
Svenska Spel3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%2.9%2026-04-15 14:55
ATG (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35%2.9%2026-04-15 20:00
Marathon Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20%4.8%2026-04-15 22:59
1xBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.37%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.94%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69%4.8%2026-04-15 22:59
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%5.1%2026-04-15 14:54
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%5.1%2026-04-15 14:55
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%5.1%2026-04-15 14:54
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39%5.1%2026-04-15 14:55
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%5.3%2026-04-15 22:59
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%6.6%2026-04-15 22:54
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%6.6%2026-04-15 14:55
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%7.1%2026-04-15 14:55
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%8.5%2026-04-15 23:03
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-04-15 22:59
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-04-15 22:59
Winamax (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-04-15 22:54
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%9.3%2026-04-15 22:59
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%9.6%2026-04-15 22:59
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.19%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.30%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51%12.5%2026-04-15 16:10