L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.55
avec la cote maximale 1.66
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +0.832%E +0.326%K +0.537%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-15 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.832%E +0.326%K +0.537%G +0.004% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.832%E +0.326%K +0.537%G +0.004% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV +0.042%E +0.016%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-15 22:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-15 22:44 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| GTbets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.89%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| Bovada | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -2.33%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 22:48 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-15 22:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 22:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 22:44 |
| Caesars | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 22:53 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 22:44 |
| Fliff | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 22:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| ReBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -6.29%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Betsson | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.47%E -3.19%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.47%E -3.19%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -8.26%E -3.56%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 22:47 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 23:03 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -9.84%E -4.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV +0.360%E +0.217%K +0.546%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -9.84%E -4.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV +0.360%E +0.217%K +0.546%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -9.84%E -4.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -0.244%E -0.148%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -13.01%E -5.91%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -12.34%E -8.51%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 0.2% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| Polymarket | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 23:05 |
| Novig | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Smarkets | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-04-15 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.5% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| ProphetX | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40% | 3.5% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.53% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.47% | 9.2% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35% | 2.9% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35% | 2.9% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35% | 2.9% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35% | 2.9% | 2026-04-15 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.94% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 14:54 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 14:54 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| TABtouch | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 23:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79% | 9.3% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.19% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.30% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51% | 12.5% | 2026-04-15 16:10 |