La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Florida Panthers v Detroit Red Wings
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Florida Panthers (Local)
Predicción 39.54%2.53momio equitativo
EV +0.832%
Ventaja +0.326%
Kelly +0.537%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.96%39.61%39.55%42.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.402.402.5545.45%41.63%41.67%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Detroit Red Wings (Visitante)
Predicción 60.46%1.65momio equitativo
EV +0.360%
Ventaja +0.217%
Kelly +0.546%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.87%60.39%60.45%62.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.591.591.6668.97%63.04%62.89%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
21 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV +0.832%E +0.326%K +0.537%G +0.004% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-15 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.832%E +0.326%K +0.537%G +0.004% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV +0.832%E +0.326%K +0.537%G +0.004% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.44%EV +0.042%E +0.016%K +0.027%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.56%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-04-15 22:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-15 22:44 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| GTbets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -5.69%E -3.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 23:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -1.14%E -0.458%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -6.89%E -4.48%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| Bovada | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.01%EV -2.33%E -0.944%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.99%EV -4.48%E -2.83%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 22:48 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-15 22:49 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 22:44 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -3.12%E -1.27%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 22:44 |
| Caesars | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.55%EV -3.91%E -1.61%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.45%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 22:53 |
| Paddy Power | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 22:44 |
| Fliff | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.08%E -3.24%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -5.10%E -2.12%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.29%E -4.06%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| Bet Right | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -2.66%E -1.65%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 22:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -5.89%E -2.47%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| ReBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -6.29%E -2.65%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -7.08%E -3.01%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Betsson | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.47%E -3.19%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -7.47%E -3.19%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -8.26%E -3.56%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -2.06%E -1.27%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 22:09 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 22:47 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -3.27%E -2.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.05%E -3.94%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.87%E -2.44%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-15 23:03 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -9.84%E -4.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV +0.360%E +0.217%K +0.546%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -9.84%E -4.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV +0.360%E +0.217%K +0.546%G +0.002% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -9.84%E -4.32%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -0.244%E -0.148%K -0.376%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -13.01%E -5.91%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 60.27%EV -12.34%E -8.51%K -27.41%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 0.2% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| Polymarket | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Kalshi | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.61% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.39% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 23:05 |
| Novig | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 1.2% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Smarkets | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.35% | 1.9% | 2026-04-15 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.02% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.98% | 2.5% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| ProphetX | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.60% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.40% | 3.5% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Matchbook | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.26I 44.25%NM 40.53% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.47% | 9.2% | 2026-04-15 23:04 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (21)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35% | 2.9% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35% | 2.9% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35% | 2.9% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.36% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.29% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.35% | 2.9% | 2026-04-15 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.49% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.37% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.94% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.69% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 14:54 |
| Casumo | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 14:54 |
| Unibet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.20% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.41% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.39% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.3% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| TABtouch | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33% | 6.6% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 14:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.23% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49% | 8.5% | 2026-04-15 23:03 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.41% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.65% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.92% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-04-15 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.18% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79% | 9.3% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 22:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.19% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.30% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.51% | 12.5% | 2026-04-15 16:10 |