The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Edmonton Oilers v Nashville Predators

Kickoff: 2026-03-16 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Edmonton Oilers (Local)

Prediction 62.32%1.60fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -3.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.25%62.33%62.25%63.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.541.541.5770.92%65.08%64.94%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nashville Predators (Visit)

Prediction 37.68%2.65fair odd
EV -0.151%
Edge -0.057%
Kelly -0.092%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.30%37.67%37.75%39.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.522.502.6542.55%39.69%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Edmonton Oilers (Local): 62.32%; Nashville Predators (Visit): 37.68%. For Nashville Predators (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.654. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.650, with an expected value of -0.151%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 16:19
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -6.93%E -2.81%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -6.93%E -2.81%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.32%E -4.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-16 00:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.78%E -1.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.17%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 23:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.78%E -1.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.17%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 23:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.78%E -1.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 23:45
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.78%E -1.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -2.78%E -1.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -7.31%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 23:45
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -0.528%E -0.200%K -0.322%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-15 23:55
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 23:50
SportsBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.31%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:45
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:50
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:54
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:55
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 00:04
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 23:50
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.04%E -0.783%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-16 00:05
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:55
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 22:30
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 00:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -6.18%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 23:54
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.151%E -0.057%K -0.092%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 23:00
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 00:00
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 00:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 00:03
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.04%E -0.783%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:49
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.151%E -0.057%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 23:54
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -0.905%E -0.344%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:45
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -0.905%E -0.344%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 22:29
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.04%E -0.783%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-16 00:00
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.905%E -0.344%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 23:45
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.04%E -0.783%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 00:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.50%EV -12.13%E -8.60%K -29.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -11.46%E -4.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 23:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-03-15 23:59
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-16 00:05
Matchbook◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-16 00:05
Polymarket◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-15 22:05
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.53%1.0%2026-03-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-03-16 00:05
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-03-16 00:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%2.8%2026-03-15 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%2.8%2026-03-15 23:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%2.8%2026-03-15 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%2.8%2026-03-15 23:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.97%4.3%2026-03-16 00:05
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.62%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.31%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.07%4.5%2026-03-15 23:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.59%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79%4.6%2026-03-15 23:50
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%4.7%2026-03-15 23:39
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%5.8%2026-03-16 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%6.7%2026-03-15 23:45
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.33%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%6.8%2026-03-15 23:45
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%7.4%2026-03-15 23:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%8.6%2026-03-16 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%8.9%2026-03-16 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-03-15 23:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-03-15 23:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%10.6%2026-03-16 00:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.14%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%11.4%2026-03-15 23:50