La escuela de los momios

Edmonton Oilers v Nashville Predators

Inicio: 2026-03-16 00:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

38 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Edmonton Oilers (Local)

Predicción 62.32%1.60momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -3.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.25%62.33%62.25%63.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.541.541.5770.92%65.08%64.94%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Nashville Predators (Visitante)

Predicción 37.68%2.65momio equitativo
EV -0.151%
Ventaja -0.057%
Kelly -0.092%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.30%37.67%37.75%39.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.522.502.6542.55%39.69%40.00%37.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 16:19
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -6.93%E -2.81%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -6.93%E -2.81%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:45
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.32%E -4.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-16 00:04
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.78%E -1.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.17%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 23:35
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.78%E -1.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.17%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 23:35
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.78%E -1.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 23:45
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.78%E -1.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 00:05
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -2.78%E -1.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -7.31%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 23:45
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -0.528%E -0.200%K -0.322%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-15 23:55
ReBet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 23:50
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.31%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:45
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:50
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:54
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:55
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 00:04
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 23:50
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.04%E -0.783%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-16 00:05
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:55
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 22:30
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -6.18%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 23:54
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.151%E -0.057%K -0.092%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 23:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 00:00
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 00:00
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 00:03
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.04%E -0.783%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:49
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.151%E -0.057%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 23:54
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -0.905%E -0.344%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:45
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -0.905%E -0.344%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 22:29
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.04%E -0.783%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-16 00:00
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.905%E -0.344%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 23:45
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.04%E -0.783%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 00:05
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.50%EV -12.13%E -8.60%K -29.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -11.46%E -4.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 23:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-03-15 23:59
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-16 00:05
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-16 00:05
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-15 22:05
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.53%1.0%2026-03-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-03-16 00:05
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-03-16 00:05

Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)

Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.

CorredorOpción 1Opción 2Opción 3Margen ▲Actualizado
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%2.8%2026-03-15 23:45
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%2.8%2026-03-15 23:45
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%2.8%2026-03-15 23:45
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%2.8%2026-03-15 23:45
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.97%4.3%2026-03-16 00:05
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.62%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.31%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.07%4.5%2026-03-15 23:55
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.59%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79%4.6%2026-03-15 23:50
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%4.7%2026-03-15 23:39
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%5.8%2026-03-16 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%6.7%2026-03-15 23:45
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 52.33%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%6.8%2026-03-15 23:45
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%7.4%2026-03-15 23:45
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%8.6%2026-03-16 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%8.9%2026-03-16 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-03-15 23:50
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-03-15 23:50
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%10.6%2026-03-16 00:05
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.14%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%11.4%2026-03-15 23:50