A Escola das Odds

Edmonton Oilers v Nashville Predators

Início: 2026-03-16 00:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

38 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Edmonton Oilers (Local)

Previsão 62.32%1.60odd justa
EV -2.16%
Vantagem -1.37%
Kelly -3.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.57

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.25%62.33%62.25%63.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.411.541.541.5770.92%65.08%64.94%63.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nashville Predators (Visitante)

Previsão 37.68%2.65odd justa
EV -0.151%
Vantagem -0.057%
Kelly -0.092%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.30%37.67%37.75%39.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.522.502.6542.55%39.69%40.00%37.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 casas de apostas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado (3 opções, em vez das 2 opções usadas na análise). Os resultados da análise devem ser interpretados com prudência devido a esta disparidade.

Odds das casas de apostas (38 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 16:19
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -6.93%E -2.81%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 61.14%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.86%EV -6.93%E -2.81%K -4.72%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:45
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.32%E -4.34%K -7.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-16 00:04
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.78%E -1.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.17%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 23:35
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.78%E -1.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.17%E -1.23%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 23:35
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.78%E -1.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-15 23:45
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.78%E -1.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-16 00:05
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -2.78%E -1.78%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -7.31%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 23:45
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -0.528%E -0.200%K -0.322%G +0.000%2.4%2026-03-15 23:55
ReBet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-15 23:50
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.35%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.65%EV -7.31%E -2.97%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:45
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:50
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:54
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-15 23:55
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-16 00:04
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.40%E -2.19%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.57%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 23:50
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.04%E -0.783%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-16 00:05
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:55
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.92%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 22:30
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-16 00:00
MyBookie.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -4.03%E -2.61%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -6.18%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 23:54
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.151%E -0.057%K -0.092%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-15 23:00
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.80%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-16 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 00:00
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 00:00
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.65%E -3.04%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-16 00:03
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -5.27%E -3.47%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.04%E -0.783%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 23:49
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -0.151%E -0.057%K -0.092%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 23:54
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -0.905%E -0.344%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:45
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.53%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV -0.905%E -0.344%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -1.28%E -0.489%K -0.791%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 22:29
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.89%E -3.90%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.04%E -0.783%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-16 00:00
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -0.905%E -0.344%K -0.555%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 23:45
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.52%E -4.35%K -13.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.04%E -0.783%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-16 00:05
NetBet (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.50%EV -12.13%E -8.60%K -29.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -11.46%E -4.87%K -8.49%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-15 23:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (9)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.59I 62.89%NM 62.94%2.70I 37.04%NM 37.06%-0.1%2026-03-15 23:59
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-03-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-16 00:05
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-16 00:05
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-15 12:20
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-03-15 22:05
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.53%1.0%2026-03-16 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-03-16 00:05
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.6%2026-03-16 00:05

Outras casas de apostas — não incluídas na análise (22)

Estas casas oferecem um número de opções diferente neste mercado e são excluídas da análise. As respetivas odds são apresentadas apenas como referência — as regras de liquidação das apostas podem ser diferentes e implicar incerteza adicional.

Casa de apostasOpção 1Opção 2Opção 3Margem ▲Atualização
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%2.8%2026-03-15 23:45
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%2.8%2026-03-15 23:45
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%2.8%2026-03-15 23:45
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.14%2.8%2026-03-15 23:45
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.05%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.97%4.3%2026-03-16 00:05
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.62%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.31%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.07%4.5%2026-03-15 23:55
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.59%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.79%4.6%2026-03-15 23:50
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.69%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%4.7%2026-03-15 23:39
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Unibet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.39%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%5.2%2026-03-15 23:45
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%5.8%2026-03-16 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.56%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%6.7%2026-03-15 23:45
TABtouch1.79I 55.87%NM 52.33%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.38%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%6.8%2026-03-15 23:45
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 52.61%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%7.4%2026-03-15 23:45
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.61%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%8.6%2026-03-16 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%8.9%2026-03-16 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-03-15 23:50
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%9.0%2026-03-15 23:50
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.25%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%10.6%2026-03-16 00:05
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.14%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%11.4%2026-03-15 23:50