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Detroit Red Wings v Philadelphia Flyers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Detroit Red Wings (Local)
Prediction 55.77%1.79fair odd
EV -2.41%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -3.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%55.80%55.70%57.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.711.711.7559.88%58.35%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)
Prediction 44.23%2.26fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.609%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.97%44.20%44.30%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.162.152.2347.62%46.33%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Red Wings (Local): 55.77%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visit): 44.23%. For Philadelphia Flyers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.26. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.23, with an expected value of -1.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.41%E -1.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.41%E -1.38%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 02:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.34%E -2.49%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-27 16:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 03:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 17:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.01%E -1.85%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 02:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.78%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.78%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-27 16:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 01:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-28 02:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.45%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.45%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 17:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 02:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-27 16:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.76%E -3.41%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.76%E -3.41%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.01%E -1.85%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.36%E -0.609%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.36%E -0.609%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-28 01:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05% | -0.0% | 2026-03-27 16:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-28 00:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83% | 2.3% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94% | 2.5% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94% | 2.5% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53% | 3.0% | 2026-03-28 03:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.19% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.75% | 3.2% | 2026-03-28 03:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.04% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.54% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42% | 4.2% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.68% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.68% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.68% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.68% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.05% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.19% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.6% | 2026-03-28 02:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72% | 4.8% | 2026-03-28 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 17:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 17:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88% | 6.3% | 2026-03-27 19:35 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90% | 6.5% | 2026-03-28 02:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.42% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 19:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 20:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94% | 9.0% | 2026-03-27 23:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62% | 10.0% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62% | 10.0% | 2026-03-28 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70% | 10.1% | 2026-03-27 20:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 43.37% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.34% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.29% | 17.6% | 2026-03-27 20:05 |