L’École des cotes

Detroit Red Wings v Philadelphia Flyers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-29 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Red Wings (Local)

Prévision 55.77%1.79cote équitable
EV -2.41%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -3.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.69%55.80%55.70%57.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.711.711.7559.88%58.35%58.48%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Philadelphia Flyers (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.23%2.26cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.609%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.97%44.20%44.30%45.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.162.152.2347.62%46.33%46.51%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.41%E -1.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-28 02:50
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.41%E -1.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-28 02:50
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-28 03:00
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 03:05
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 03:05
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:50
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 03:10
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.34%E -2.49%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 03:05
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 16:20
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 03:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 03:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 17:54
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.01%E -1.85%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 02:19
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.78%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:15
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.78%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:15
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 16:00
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:25
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:00
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:40
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 03:10
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 03:05
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 03:10
ReBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.45%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:05
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.45%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 17:54
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 02:15
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 16:00
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-28 03:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-28 03:05
Paddy Power1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.76%E -3.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 03:10
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.76%E -3.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.01%E -1.85%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 03:10
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.36%E -0.609%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 19:40
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.36%E -0.609%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 19:40
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 17:40
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-28 01:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-03-27 16:35
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-03-28 03:00
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-28 00:30
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%2.3%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-03-28 02:55
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-03-28 03:10

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.19%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.75%3.2%2026-03-28 03:00
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.04%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%4.2%2026-03-28 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.68%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%4.2%2026-03-27 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.68%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%4.2%2026-03-27 19:40
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.68%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%4.2%2026-03-27 19:35
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.68%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%4.2%2026-03-27 19:40
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.05%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-03-28 02:55
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%4.8%2026-03-28 02:10
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%5.5%2026-03-27 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%5.5%2026-03-27 17:40
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%5.5%2026-03-27 17:39
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%5.5%2026-03-27 17:39
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%6.3%2026-03-27 19:35
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-28 02:20
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 45.42%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%7.4%2026-03-27 19:40
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-03-27 20:05
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-27 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%10.0%2026-03-28 00:05
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%10.0%2026-03-28 00:05
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%10.1%2026-03-27 20:05
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 43.37%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.29%17.6%2026-03-27 20:05