La scuola delle quote

Detroit Red Wings v Philadelphia Flyers

Inizio: 2026-03-29 00:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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35 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Detroit Red Wings (Casa)

Previsione 55.77%1.79quota equa
EV -2.41%
Vantaggio -1.38%
Kelly -3.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.69%55.80%55.70%57.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.711.711.7559.88%58.35%58.48%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Flyers (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.23%2.26quota equa
EV -1.36%
Vantaggio -0.609%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.23

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
42.97%44.20%44.30%45.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.162.152.2347.62%46.33%46.51%44.84%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (35 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.41%E -1.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-28 02:50
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.41%E -1.38%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-28 02:50
Pinnacle1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-28 03:00
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 03:05
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 03:05
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 02:50
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-28 03:10
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -5.34%E -2.49%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 03:05
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -2.97%E -1.71%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-27 16:20
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 03:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-28 03:10
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.52%E -2.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-27 17:54
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -4.01%E -1.85%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-28 02:19
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.78%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:15
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.08%E -2.37%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.78%E -2.71%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:15
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-27 16:00
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 01:25
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-28 02:00
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-28 01:40
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 03:10
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.64%E -2.71%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-28 03:05
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.57%E -1.64%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-28 03:10
ReBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.45%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 00:05
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.45%E -2.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-28 02:20
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-27 17:54
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.90%E -2.28%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 02:15
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-27 16:00
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-28 03:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.20%E -3.06%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-28 03:05
Paddy Power1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.76%E -3.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-28 03:10
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.76%E -3.41%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%EV -4.01%E -1.85%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-28 03:10
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.36%E -0.609%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 19:40
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -1.36%E -0.609%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-27 19:40
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.31%E -3.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.69%E -1.22%K -2.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-27 17:40
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.87%E -4.11%K -10.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.11%E -3.39%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-28 01:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-03-27 16:35
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-03-28 03:00
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-28 00:30
ProphetX1.74I 57.47%NM 56.17%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.83%2.3%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-03-28 02:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-03-28 02:55
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%3.0%2026-03-28 03:10

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 44.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.19%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.75%3.2%2026-03-28 03:00
Unibet (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 44.04%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%4.2%2026-03-28 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.68%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%4.2%2026-03-27 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.68%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%4.2%2026-03-27 19:40
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 45.68%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%4.2%2026-03-27 19:35
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.68%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.80%4.2%2026-03-27 19:40
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.05%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.19%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.6%2026-03-28 02:55
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.38%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.90%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.72%4.8%2026-03-28 02:10
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%5.5%2026-03-27 17:40
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%5.5%2026-03-27 17:40
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%5.5%2026-03-27 17:39
Grosvenor2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.78%5.5%2026-03-27 17:39
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.88%6.3%2026-03-27 19:35
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-03-28 02:20
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 45.42%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%7.4%2026-03-27 19:40
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-03-27 20:05
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-03-27 23:05
Parions Sport (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%10.0%2026-03-28 00:05
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.62%10.0%2026-03-28 00:05
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%10.1%2026-03-27 20:05
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 43.37%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.29%17.6%2026-03-27 20:05