The School of Odds
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Detroit Red Wings v New Jersey Devils

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 21:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Detroit Red Wings (Local)

Prediction 55.45%1.80fair odd
EV -0.746%
Edge -0.417%
Kelly -0.944%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.23%55.43%55.56%56.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.721.731.7963.29%58.04%57.97%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New Jersey Devils (Visit)

Prediction 44.55%2.24fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -0.904%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.73%44.57%44.44%45.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.142.152.2050.51%46.83%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Detroit Red Wings (Local): 55.45%; New Jersey Devils (Visit): 44.55%. For Detroit Red Wings (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.79, with an expected value of -0.746%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.746%E -0.417%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 21:05
BetUS🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.85%E -1.05%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 21:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 21:04
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 21:05
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:58
Everygame🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 21:05
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.66%E -2.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:05
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 21:05
ReBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.32%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 20:59
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:04
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:04
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 21:04
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.32%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:04
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 20:57
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.99%E -0.904%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Paddy Power🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.88%E -1.32%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 21:04
Caesars🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.88%E -1.32%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 21:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.88%E -1.32%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 21:04
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Betsson🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.66%E -2.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 21:04
NordicBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.66%E -2.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.32%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:58
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 21:03
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.62%EV -12.39%E -7.84%K -21.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.38%EV -11.79%E -5.95%K -12.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 20:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Matchbook◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 21:05
ProphetX◎1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Novig◎1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-04-11 21:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-04-11 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.03%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48%4.7%2026-04-11 20:59
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.01%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.48%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.51%4.7%2026-04-11 20:59
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%4.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.60%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%5.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-04-11 21:03
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-04-11 21:05
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%7.2%2026-04-11 21:05
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-04-11 21:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.08%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%8.0%2026-04-11 21:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.23%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%8.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Codere (IT)🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 43.81%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-04-11 21:01
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.65%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%9.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%9.8%2026-04-11 21:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.98%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%12.6%2026-04-11 21:05