La scuola delle quote

Detroit Red Wings v New Jersey Devils

Inizio: 2026-04-11 21:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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38 bookmaker (13 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Detroit Red Wings (Casa)

Previsione 55.45%1.80quota equa
EV -0.746%
Vantaggio -0.417%
Kelly -0.944%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.23%55.43%55.56%56.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.581.721.731.7963.29%58.04%57.97%55.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

New Jersey Devils (Trasferta)

Previsione 44.55%2.24quota equa
EV -1.99%
Vantaggio -0.904%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.73%44.57%44.44%45.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.982.142.152.2050.51%46.83%46.51%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (38 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.746%E -0.417%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 21:05
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.85%E -1.05%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:05
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 21:05
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 21:04
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 21:05
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:58
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 21:05
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.66%E -2.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:05
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 21:05
ReBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.32%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 20:59
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:04
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:04
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 21:04
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.32%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:04
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 20:57
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.99%E -0.904%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Paddy Power1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.88%E -1.32%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 21:04
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.88%E -1.32%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 21:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.88%E -1.32%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 21:04
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Betsson1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.66%E -2.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 21:04
NordicBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.66%E -2.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:05
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.32%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:58
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 21:03
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.62%EV -12.39%E -7.84%K -21.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.38%EV -11.79%E -5.95%K -12.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 20:58
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 21:05
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-04-11 21:05

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (22)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-04-11 21:05
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.03%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48%4.7%2026-04-11 20:59
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.01%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.48%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.51%4.7%2026-04-11 20:59
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%4.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.60%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%5.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-04-11 21:03
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-04-11 21:05
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%7.2%2026-04-11 21:05
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-04-11 21:04
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.08%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%8.0%2026-04-11 21:00
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.23%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%8.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 43.81%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-04-11 21:01
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.65%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%9.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%9.8%2026-04-11 21:05
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.98%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%12.6%2026-04-11 21:05