La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.79
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.746%E -0.417%K -0.944%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.85%E -1.05%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| GTbets | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
| Everygame | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.66%E -2.18%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| ReBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.32%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| betPARX | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.32%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 20:57 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.99%E -0.904%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.88%E -1.32%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Caesars | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.88%E -1.32%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.88%E -1.32%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betsson | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.66%E -2.18%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.66%E -2.18%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.32%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| TAB | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.62%EV -12.39%E -7.84%K -21.36%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.38%EV -11.79%E -5.95%K -12.03%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36% | 1.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Novig | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.03% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.49% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.01% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.48% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.51% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| Coolbet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.46% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.60% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Unibet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Casumo | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.08% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 21:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.23% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75% | 8.2% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.81% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 21:01 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.65% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.98% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49% | 12.6% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |