L’École des cotes

Detroit Red Wings v New Jersey Devils

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 21:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Detroit Red Wings (Local)

Prévision 55.45%1.80cote équitable
EV -0.746%
Avantage -0.417%
Kelly -0.944%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.23%55.43%55.56%56.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.581.721.731.7963.29%58.04%57.97%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New Jersey Devils (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.55%2.24cote équitable
EV -1.99%
Avantage -0.904%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.73%44.57%44.44%45.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.982.142.152.2050.51%46.83%46.51%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -0.746%E -0.417%K -0.944%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-11 21:05
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.85%E -1.05%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:05
BetOnline.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 21:05
LowVig.ag1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.41%E -1.37%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.96%E -1.69%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 21:04
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 21:05
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 20:58
Everygame1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 21:05
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.66%E -2.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:05
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.52%E -2.02%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 21:05
ReBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -3.32%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 20:59
betPARX1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:04
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 21:04
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.07%E -2.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.67%E -4.23%K -8.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 21:04
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -3.32%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:04
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.63%E -2.69%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 20:57
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.99%E -0.904%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Paddy Power1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.88%E -1.32%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 21:04
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.88%E -1.32%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 21:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -2.88%E -1.32%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 21:04
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.77%E -1.75%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-11 21:05
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Betsson1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.66%E -2.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 21:04
NordicBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.66%E -2.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.18%E -3.03%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:05
MyBookie.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.32%E -1.53%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:58
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.22%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.74%E -3.37%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.44%E -3.07%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 21:03
NetBet (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.62%EV -12.39%E -7.84%K -21.36%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.38%EV -11.79%E -5.95%K -12.03%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-11 20:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 21:05
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%2.2%2026-04-11 21:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-04-11 21:05
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.42%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.54%3.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 43.03%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.49%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48%4.7%2026-04-11 20:59
1xBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.01%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.48%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.51%4.7%2026-04-11 20:59
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.46%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%4.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.60%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.14%5.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (NL)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.12%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%5.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-04-11 21:03
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%6.7%2026-04-11 21:05
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%7.2%2026-04-11 21:05
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.15%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%7.7%2026-04-11 21:04
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.08%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.06%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.86%8.0%2026-04-11 21:00
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.02%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.23%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.75%8.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Codere (IT)2.09I 47.85%NM 43.81%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%9.2%2026-04-11 21:01
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.65%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%9.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.44%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.19%9.8%2026-04-11 21:05
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.98%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%12.6%2026-04-11 21:05