The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Dallas Stars v Detroit Red Wings

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 00:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dallas Stars (Local)

Prediction 63.14%1.58fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.965%
Kelly -2.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.56%63.06%63.11%64.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.391.521.521.5671.94%65.87%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Detroit Red Wings (Visit)

Prediction 36.86%2.71fair odd
EV -0.472%
Edge -0.175%
Kelly -0.278%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.71%36.94%36.89%38.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.572.602.7041.67%38.88%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Stars (Local): 63.14%; Detroit Red Wings (Visit): 36.86%. For Detroit Red Wings (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.472%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.50%E -0.965%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-15 00:05
Paddy Power🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -8.21%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 00:05
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -8.21%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 00:03
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -1.95%E -0.732%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 00:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -1.95%E -0.732%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 00:05
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.05%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 00:04
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:05
GTbets🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:05
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -4.53%E -1.75%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 23:59
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -6.37%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 00:04
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.69%E -3.95%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.69%E -3.95%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.472%E -0.175%K -0.278%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-15 00:05
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:05
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:05
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.90%E -1.90%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:03
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 00:05
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.32%E -0.874%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 00:05
theScore Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.32%E -0.874%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 00:05
Caesars🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.42%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 00:04
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 23:52
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 00:05
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 00:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.472%E -0.175%K -0.278%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 00:00
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 00:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 00:04
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.92%E -3.98%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.32%E -0.874%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -12.24%E -8.80%K -31.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.68%EV -11.53%E -4.80%K -8.24%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-03-14 23:59
ProphetX◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-15 00:05
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.53%1.0%2026-03-15 00:05
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-15 00:05
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-15 00:05
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-03-15 00:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%3.2%2026-03-15 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%3.2%2026-03-15 00:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%3.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%3.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%4.0%2026-03-14 23:59
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.6%2026-03-15 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.38%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.6%2026-03-14 23:59
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.18%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.75%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.08%4.7%2026-03-14 23:59
Unibet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%5.3%2026-03-15 00:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%5.3%2026-03-15 00:05
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%5.3%2026-03-15 00:05
Casumo🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%5.3%2026-03-15 00:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%6.7%2026-03-14 23:59
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%6.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%7.0%2026-03-15 00:05
LeoVegas🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%7.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%8.6%2026-03-15 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-03-14 23:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-03-15 00:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%9.4%2026-03-15 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.34%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%11.0%2026-03-14 23:56
Unibet (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%11.2%2026-03-15 00:04