L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 1.56
avec la cote maximale 2.70
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.50%E -0.965%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -8.21%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -8.21%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 00:03 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -1.95%E -0.732%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -1.95%E -0.732%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| BetUS | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.05%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-15 00:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| GTbets | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| ReBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -4.53%E -1.75%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -6.37%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 00:04 |
| Coral | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.69%E -3.95%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Neds | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.69%E -3.95%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.472%E -0.175%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.90%E -1.90%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 00:03 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| BetAnything | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.32%E -0.874%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.32%E -0.874%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Caesars | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.42%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 00:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 23:52 |
| betPARX | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.472%E -0.175%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 00:04 |
| Fliff | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.92%E -3.98%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.32%E -0.874%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -12.24%E -8.80%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.68%EV -11.53%E -4.80%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| ProphetX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Novig | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.53% | 1.0% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49% | 2.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.38% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.18% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.75% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.08% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betway | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.34% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.14% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 23:56 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 00:04 |