L’École des cotes

Dallas Stars v Detroit Red Wings

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dallas Stars (Local)

Prévision 63.14%1.58cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.965%
Kelly -2.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.56%63.06%63.11%64.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.391.521.521.5671.94%65.87%65.79%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Detroit Red Wings (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.86%2.71cote équitable
EV -0.472%
Avantage -0.175%
Kelly -0.278%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.71%36.94%36.89%38.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.572.602.7041.67%38.88%38.46%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.50%E -0.965%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.6%2026-03-15 00:05
Paddy Power1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -8.21%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 00:05
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -8.21%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 00:03
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -1.95%E -0.732%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 00:05
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -1.95%E -0.732%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-15 00:05
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.05%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-15 00:04
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:05
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:05
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-15 00:05
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -4.53%E -1.75%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 23:59
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -6.37%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 00:04
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-15 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.69%E -3.95%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.69%E -3.95%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.472%E -0.175%K -0.278%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-15 00:05
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:05
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-15 00:05
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.90%E -1.90%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-15 00:05
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:05
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-15 00:03
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 00:05
BetAnything1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.32%E -0.874%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 00:05
theScore Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.32%E -0.874%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-15 00:05
Caesars1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.42%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-15 00:04
BetRivers1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 23:52
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 00:05
Bally Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 00:05
Hard Rock Bet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.472%E -0.175%K -0.278%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 00:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 00:05
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 00:04
Fliff1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.92%E -3.98%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.32%E -0.874%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 00:05
NetBet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -12.24%E -8.80%K -31.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.68%EV -11.53%E -4.80%K -8.24%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-15 00:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%0.1%2026-03-14 23:59
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%0.5%2026-03-15 00:05
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-03-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Novig1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.53%1.0%2026-03-15 00:05
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-15 00:05
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-03-15 00:05
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49%2.2%2026-03-15 00:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%3.2%2026-03-15 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%3.2%2026-03-15 00:05
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%3.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07%3.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11%4.0%2026-03-14 23:59
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.6%2026-03-15 00:05
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.38%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.40%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%4.6%2026-03-14 23:59
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.18%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.75%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.08%4.7%2026-03-14 23:59
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%5.3%2026-03-15 00:05
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%5.3%2026-03-15 00:05
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%5.3%2026-03-15 00:05
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10%5.3%2026-03-15 00:05
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%6.7%2026-03-14 23:59
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%6.9%2026-03-15 00:05
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%7.0%2026-03-15 00:05
LeoVegas1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%7.2%2026-03-15 00:05
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%8.6%2026-03-15 00:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-03-14 23:59
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%8.7%2026-03-15 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%9.4%2026-03-15 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.34%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%11.0%2026-03-14 23:56
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%11.2%2026-03-15 00:04