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Dallas Stars v Detroit Red Wings
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dallas Stars (Local)
Predicción 63.14%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.965%
Kelly -2.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.56%63.06%63.11%64.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.391.521.521.5671.94%65.87%65.79%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Detroit Red Wings (Visitante)
Predicción 36.86%2.71momio equitativo
EV -0.472%
Ventaja -0.175%
Kelly -0.278%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.71%36.94%36.89%38.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.572.602.7041.67%38.88%38.46%37.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Dallas Stars (Local): 63.14%; Detroit Red Wings (Visitante): 36.86%. Para Detroit Red Wings (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.71. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.70, con un valor esperado de -0.472%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -1.50%E -0.965%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -8.21%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -2.77%E -1.80%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -8.21%E -3.30%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 00:03 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -1.95%E -0.732%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.48%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.52%EV -1.95%E -0.732%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.05%E -1.16%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-15 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.86%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.14%EV -4.53%E -1.75%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -6.37%E -2.51%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 00:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.69%E -3.95%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.40%E -2.22%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.69%E -3.95%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -0.472%E -0.175%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -4.90%E -1.90%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-15 00:03 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.03%E -2.65%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.32%E -0.874%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV -2.32%E -0.874%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.44%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.56%EV -3.42%E -1.31%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-15 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 23:52 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.66%E -3.09%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -0.472%E -0.175%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.00%E -2.35%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.29%E -3.53%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.84%E -3.14%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-15 00:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.92%E -3.98%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.32%E -0.874%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 63.32%EV -12.24%E -8.80%K -31.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.68%EV -11.53%E -4.80%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74% | 0.1% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60% | 0.5% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 0.7% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45% | 0.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.47% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 36.53% | 1.0% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.51% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.49% | 2.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.38% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.55% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.07% | 3.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.11% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.57% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.6% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.38% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.40% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.6% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.18% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.75% | 4.53I 22.08%NM 21.08% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.16% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.74% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.10% | 5.3% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27% | 6.9% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35% | 7.0% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.13% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21% | 7.2% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.59% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92% | 8.6% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-03-14 23:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.53% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43% | 8.7% | 2026-03-15 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.24% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86% | 9.4% | 2026-03-15 00:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.34% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 27.14% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53% | 11.0% | 2026-03-14 23:56 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.25% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.26% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49% | 11.2% | 2026-03-15 00:04 |