Language:English
Dallas Stars v Calgary Flames
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dallas Stars (Local)
Prediction 68.55%1.46fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -4.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.35%68.49%68.54%69.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.401.401.4377.52%71.56%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Calgary Flames (Visit)
Prediction 31.45%3.18fair odd
EV -0.932%
Edge -0.296%
Kelly -0.433%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.31%31.51%31.46%32.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.773.013.023.1536.10%33.21%33.06%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dallas Stars (Local): 68.55%; Calgary Flames (Visit): 31.45%. For Calgary Flames (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.18. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -0.932%; they did not produce positive expected value.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -1.97%E -1.38%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -2.66%E -1.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -3.13%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -2.66%E -1.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -3.13%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -2.66%E -1.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.66%E -1.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.34%E -2.37%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -1.88%E -0.601%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -3.34%E -2.37%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -5.02%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 00:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 23:57 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -6.28%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 00:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.40%E -3.91%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 00:02 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.40%E -3.91%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.40%E -3.91%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.37%E -3.64%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.09%E -4.44%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -0.932%E -0.296%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -11.57%E -8.97%K -39.90%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.77%EV -12.88%E -4.65%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| Novig◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43% | 2.0% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17% | 3.3% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17% | 3.3% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17% | 3.3% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17% | 3.3% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.82% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.57% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.62% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.39% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22% | 7.5% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29% | 9.2% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14% | 10.4% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21% | 12.5% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |