L’École des cotes

Dallas Stars v Calgary Flames

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 00:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dallas Stars (Local)

Prévision 68.55%1.46cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -4.59%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.35%68.49%68.54%69.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.401.401.4377.52%71.56%71.43%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Calgary Flames (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.45%3.18cote équitable
EV -0.932%
Avantage -0.296%
Kelly -0.433%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.31%31.51%31.46%32.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.773.013.023.1536.10%33.21%33.06%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetAnything1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -1.97%E -1.38%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 00:04
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -2.66%E -1.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -3.13%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-08 00:05
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -2.66%E -1.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -3.13%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-08 00:04
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -2.66%E -1.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-08 00:05
Everygame1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.66%E -1.87%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 00:05
Pinnacle1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.34%E -2.37%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -1.88%E -0.601%K -0.885%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-08 00:05
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -3.34%E -2.37%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -5.02%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-07 23:59
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 00:05
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 00:04
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 00:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 00:04
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-08 00:04
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 23:57
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 00:04
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 00:04
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 00:04
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 00:04
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 00:05
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 00:05
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 00:04
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -6.28%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 00:00
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 23:59
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 00:04
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 00:05
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 00:04
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 00:01
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 00:05
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 00:04
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-08 00:05
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 00:04
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 00:05
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 00:04
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.40%E -3.91%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 00:02
SportsBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.40%E -3.91%K -14.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-08 00:04
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.40%E -3.91%K -14.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.37%E -3.64%K -5.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-08 00:05
Fliff1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.09%E -4.44%K -16.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -0.932%E -0.296%K -0.433%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-08 00:04
NetBet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -11.57%E -8.97%K -39.90%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 31.77%EV -12.88%E -4.65%K -7.28%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-08 00:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (9)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70%0.2%2026-04-07 23:59
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-04-08 00:05
Polymarket1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-04-08 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-04-08 00:05
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-04-08 00:05
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-04-08 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.7%2026-04-08 00:04
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-04-08 00:05
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-04-08 00:05

Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (22)

Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.

OpérateurOption 1Option 2Option 3Marge ▲Mise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%3.3%2026-04-08 00:04
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%3.3%2026-04-08 00:04
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%3.3%2026-04-08 00:04
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17%3.3%2026-04-08 00:04
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93%4.5%2026-04-08 00:04
Marathon Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01%4.6%2026-04-08 00:00
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.82%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.57%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.62%4.8%2026-04-07 23:59
Coolbet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73%4.9%2026-04-08 00:05
Unibet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%5.1%2026-04-08 00:05
Grosvenor1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%5.1%2026-04-08 00:04
Unibet (NL)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%5.1%2026-04-08 00:05
Casumo1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%5.1%2026-04-08 00:04
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%5.9%2026-04-08 00:04
TABtouch1.61I 62.11%NM 58.39%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00%6.4%2026-04-08 00:04
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%6.6%2026-04-08 00:05
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22%7.5%2026-04-08 00:04
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%8.0%2026-04-07 23:59
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%8.2%2026-04-08 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%8.8%2026-04-08 00:05
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29%9.2%2026-04-08 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%10.4%2026-04-08 00:04
PMU (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21%12.5%2026-04-08 00:04