La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Dallas Stars v Calgary Flames
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dallas Stars (Local)
Predicción 68.55%1.46momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -4.59%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.35%68.49%68.54%69.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.291.401.401.4377.52%71.56%71.43%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Calgary Flames (Visitante)
Predicción 31.45%3.18momio equitativo
EV -0.932%
Ventaja -0.296%
Kelly -0.433%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.31%31.51%31.46%32.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.773.013.023.1536.10%33.21%33.06%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
22 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -1.97%E -1.38%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -2.66%E -1.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -3.13%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%EV -2.66%E -1.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%EV -3.13%E -1.02%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| BetUS | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -2.66%E -1.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV -4.71%E -1.55%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Everygame | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.66%E -1.87%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%EV -3.34%E -2.37%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%EV -1.88%E -0.601%K -0.885%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -3.34%E -2.37%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -5.02%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Bovada | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 00:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-07 23:57 |
| Bet Right | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Bally Bet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.65%E -1.88%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -6.28%E -2.11%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Betsson | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.22%E -2.45%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 00:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Neds | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.03%E -2.88%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.79%E -3.03%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| FanDuel | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.72%E -3.39%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Caesars | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.40%E -3.91%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.50%E -0.808%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 00:02 |
| SportsBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.40%E -3.91%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.08%E -1.34%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.40%E -3.91%K -14.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -10.37%E -3.64%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Fliff | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -6.09%E -4.44%K -16.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -0.932%E -0.296%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 68.23%EV -11.57%E -8.97%K -39.90%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.77%EV -12.88%E -4.65%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (9)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.44I 69.44%NM 69.30% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.70% | 0.2% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| Novig | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 0.7% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Matchbook | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89% | 1.2% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.7% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Kalshi | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43% | 2.0% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92% | 2.7% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (22)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17% | 3.3% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17% | 3.3% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17% | 3.3% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.32% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.17% | 3.3% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.93% | 4.5% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.76% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.01% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.82% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.57% | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.62% | 4.8% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.17% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.73% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Unibet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Casumo | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.36% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.62% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87% | 5.9% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| TABtouch | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.39% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.00% | 6.4% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.22% | 7.5% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.59% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29% | 8.0% | 2026-04-07 23:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25% | 8.2% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98% | 8.8% | 2026-04-08 00:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.82% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.29% | 9.2% | 2026-04-08 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14% | 10.4% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.11% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.68% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.21% | 12.5% | 2026-04-08 00:04 |