The School of Odds
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Chicago Blackhawks v St Louis Blues

Kickoff: 2026-04-11 21:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Blackhawks (Local)

Prediction 42.62%2.35fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.854%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%42.67%42.60%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.072.242.252.3048.31%44.61%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

St Louis Blues (Visit)

Prediction 57.38%1.74fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%57.33%57.40%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.671.671.7065.36%60.02%59.88%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Blackhawks (Local): 42.62%; St Louis Blues (Visit): 57.38%. For Chicago Blackhawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.30, with an expected value of -1.96%; they did not produce positive expected value.

22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-11 21:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 21:04
BetAnything🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 21:05
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-11 20:58
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:04
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 21:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 21:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 21:05
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-11 21:05
Bet Right🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:04
Caesars🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-11 21:03
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.90%E -3.60%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-11 21:05
GTbets🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 21:05
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 21:05
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 21:05
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-11 21:05
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-11 21:04
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:05
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 21:04
DraftKings🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 21:05
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.95%E -2.22%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-11 20:57
ReBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 20:59
MyBookie.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 20:58
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.76%E -2.87%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.76%E -2.87%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:04
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-11 21:04
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:05
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:05
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 21:04
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 21:03
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 21:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.77%E -5.68%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.22%E -7.98%K -23.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 20:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (9)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly◎2.41I 41.49%NM 41.50%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.50%-0.0%2026-04-11 20:59
ProphetX◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33%0.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Matchbook◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58%1.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Novig◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%1.5%2026-04-11 21:05
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%2.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Smarkets◎2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%3.5%2026-04-11 21:05

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-04-11 21:04
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-04-11 21:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53%3.2%2026-04-11 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.69%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.79%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52%4.5%2026-04-11 20:59
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%4.5%2026-04-11 21:05
1xBet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.64%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.72%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.64%4.7%2026-04-11 20:59
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42%4.9%2026-04-11 21:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%5.4%2026-04-11 21:05
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%6.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%6.5%2026-04-11 21:03
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%7.9%2026-04-11 21:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-11 21:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%8.3%2026-04-11 21:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%8.6%2026-04-11 21:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-04-11 21:00
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%9.0%2026-04-11 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.53%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%9.5%2026-04-11 21:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.72%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.79%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%12.6%2026-04-11 21:05