L’École des cotesCotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.30
avec la cote maximale 1.70
22 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| BetAnything | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Caesars | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| SportsBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.90%E -3.60%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| GTbets | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.95%E -2.22%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 20:57 |
| ReBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.76%E -2.87%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.76%E -2.87%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.77%E -5.68%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.22%E -7.98%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.50% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.50% | -0.0% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| ProphetX | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Novig | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.69% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.79% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| 1xBet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.64% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.72% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.64% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.14% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| LeoVegas | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 21:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 21:00 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.72% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49% | 12.6% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |