La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.70
22 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| BetAnything | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.96%E -0.854%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.05%E -4.35%K -11.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.82%E -1.24%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Caesars | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| SportsBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.67%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.90%E -3.60%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| GTbets | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| betPARX | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Bally Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.10%E -1.82%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| DraftKings | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.52%E -2.02%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.95%E -2.22%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 20:57 |
| ReBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.04%E -1.80%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.76%E -2.87%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.37%E -2.42%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.76%E -2.87%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.61%E -2.15%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| TAB | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.23%E -2.83%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.33%E -3.23%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Bet Victor | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.46%E -1.45%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.36%E -3.89%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.18%E -2.50%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.50%EV -11.77%E -5.68%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.50%EV -12.22%E -7.98%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-11 20:58 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 2.41I 41.49%NM 41.50% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.50% | -0.0% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| ProphetX | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.67% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 56.33% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Matchbook | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.58% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Polymarket | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Novig | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Kalshi | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.70% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.53% | 3.2% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.69% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.79% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.52% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.34% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78% | 4.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| 1xBet | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.64% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.72% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.64% | 4.7% | 2026-04-11 20:59 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.42% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.14% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.69% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 21:03 |
| LeoVegas | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 21:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 21:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 21:00 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.53% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.72% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 45.79% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49% | 12.6% | 2026-04-11 21:05 |