Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Blackhawks v Pittsburgh Penguins

2026-10-14 00:10 UTC — NHL

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chicago Blackhawks (Local)

Prediction 44.40%2.25fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.846%
Kelly -1.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.21

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%44.50%44.30%46.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2150.00%46.70%46.51%45.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit)

Prediction 55.60%1.80fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.900%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.62%55.50%55.70%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.721.731.7759.88%58.17%57.80%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chicago Blackhawks (Local): 44.40%; Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit): 55.60%. For Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.80. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.77, with an expected value of -1.59%; they do not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Caesars🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -1.87%E -0.846%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 16:19
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-12 19:14
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-12 19:14
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 17:29
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.60%E -3.93%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 19:20
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.60%E -3.93%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 19:20
Fliff🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.31%E -1.05%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.15%E -4.28%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -3.26%E -1.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-12 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -2.76%E -1.26%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -3.26%E -1.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-12 17:34
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.20%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.60%E -3.93%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 19:20
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.20%E -1.47%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.60%E -3.93%K -9.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 19:20
Bet Right🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.09%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 17:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.26%E -1.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-12 17:00
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.26%E -1.87%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-12 17:55
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 16:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 19:19
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 19:20
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 16:30
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-12 19:18
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.53%E -2.11%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 16:19
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 17:35
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 17:29
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 17:30
Bally Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.87%E -2.77%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.70%E -1.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-12 17:29
SportsBet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -6.31%E -2.99%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.59%E -0.900%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 20:04
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-12 16:09
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.75%E -3.22%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.48%E -3.23%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-12 19:19
ReBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -10.31%E -5.10%K -10.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -4.93%E -2.88%K -6.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-12 19:24
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.19%E -5.60%K -11.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-12 19:38
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.19%E -5.60%K -11.19%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.82%E -2.21%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-12 19:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%0.9%2026-10-12 20:10
Polymarket◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-10-12 17:09
Kalshi◎2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.1%2026-10-12 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%8.5%2026-10-12 20:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 43.47%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.53%8.5%2026-10-12 20:14
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%10.0%2026-10-12 19:40

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-10-12 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-10-12 17:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-10-12 17:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%3.1%2026-10-12 17:30
1xBet🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.87%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.70%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.44%3.2%2026-10-12 19:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.87%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.65%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.48%4.7%2026-10-12 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-10-12 17:30
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-10-12 17:29
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-10-12 17:30
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%5.0%2026-10-12 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.02%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.98%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%5.7%2026-10-12 19:25
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%6.2%2026-10-12 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.87%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.87%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%7.0%2026-10-12 19:24
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%8.9%2026-10-12 19:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%10.6%2026-10-12 19:24
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.21%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%15.9%2026-10-12 19:24
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.52%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.86%17.3%2026-10-12 19:24