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Chicago Blackhawks v Pittsburgh Penguins
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chicago Blackhawks (Local)
Prediction 41.65%2.40fair odd
EV +0.366%
Edge +0.152%
Kelly +0.260%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.20%41.61%41.83%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.302.302.4146.08%43.48%43.48%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit)
Prediction 58.35%1.71fair odd
EV -1.38%
Edge -0.817%
Kelly -2.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.39%58.17%59.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.641.641.6965.36%61.08%60.98%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chicago Blackhawks (Local): 41.65%; Pittsburgh Penguins (Visit): 58.35%. For Chicago Blackhawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.40. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.41, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.366%.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV +0.366%E +0.152%K +0.260%G +0.001% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -5.47%E -3.37%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-13 23:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV +0.366%E +0.152%K +0.260%G +0.001% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -5.47%E -3.37%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-13 23:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -0.883%E -0.371%K -0.640%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -5.47%E -3.37%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-13 23:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.60%EV -1.30%E -0.548%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.40%EV -5.47%E -3.37%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-13 13:33 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.30%E -0.548%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 13:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.45%EV -1.30%E -0.548%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.55%EV -6.05%E -3.76%K -9.92%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 13:33 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -1.72%E -0.727%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -5.47%E -3.37%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 13:31 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.13%E -0.907%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-13 13:36 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.907%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.37%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 15:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.907%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.37%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -2.13%E -0.907%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -5.47%E -3.37%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-13 23:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -1.97%E -1.17%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-10-14 00:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -2.97%E -1.27%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-14 00:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.71%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.29%EV -3.13%E -1.89%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-13 18:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -3.38%E -1.46%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 23:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -2.55%E -1.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-14 00:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 23:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 23:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-14 00:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.37%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.37%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.21%E -1.83%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.47%E -3.37%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.63%E -2.02%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.47%E -3.37%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-14 00:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.13%E -1.89%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 21:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.13%E -1.89%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 21:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -3.13%E -1.89%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-13 21:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-14 00:04 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.05%E -2.21%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.88%E -3.00%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-13 23:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -5.88%E -2.60%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -4.30%E -2.62%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-14 00:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -6.30%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -1.38%E -0.817%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-14 00:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.30%E -2.80%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-13 15:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.55%E -1.53%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-13 16:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-14 00:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 23:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 23:48 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.38%E -3.81%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.72%E -2.25%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-14 00:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.35%EV -9.63%E -4.44%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -10.72%E -7.01%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-13 13:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66% | 0.4% | 2026-10-13 23:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 14:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-10-13 19:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 0.9% | 2026-10-14 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56% | 2.3% | 2026-10-14 00:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.56% | 2.3% | 2026-10-14 00:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71% | 2.6% | 2026-10-14 00:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93% | 3.4% | 2026-10-13 23:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.21% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.79% | 3.7% | 2026-10-14 00:04 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.51% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.67% | 1.4% | 2026-10-13 22:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-10-13 21:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-10-13 21:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.80% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56% | 3.1% | 2026-10-13 22:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.93% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.05% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.02% | 4.4% | 2026-10-14 00:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.07% | 4.7% | 2026-10-13 23:53 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.02% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.20% | 4.8% | 2026-10-14 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 21:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 22:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 22:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.41% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54% | 5.6% | 2026-10-13 22:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44% | 6.1% | 2026-10-13 22:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 6.6% | 2026-10-13 23:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.57% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.43% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.00% | 7.0% | 2026-10-14 00:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.69% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88% | 8.8% | 2026-10-13 23:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.86% | 8.9% | 2026-10-14 00:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34% | 9.0% | 2026-10-13 23:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.70% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.88% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41% | 11.2% | 2026-10-14 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.89% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.79% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32% | 12.0% | 2026-10-14 00:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.04% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.31% | 14.9% | 2026-10-13 23:54 |