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Chicago Blackhawks v Pittsburgh Penguins
Resultado del partido
Chicago Blackhawks (Local)
Predicción 44.26%2.26momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.990%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.21
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%44.38%44.29%45.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.032.142.152.2149.26%46.70%46.51%45.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Pittsburgh Penguins (Visitante)
Predicción 55.74%1.79momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.756%
Kelly -1.74%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.23%55.62%55.71%56.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.721.731.7759.88%58.04%57.80%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Chicago Blackhawks (Local): 44.26%; Pittsburgh Penguins (Visitante): 55.74%. Para Pittsburgh Penguins (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.79. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.77, con un valor esperado de -1.34%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
17 corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para este mercado (3 vías, frente al formato de 2 vías empleado en el análisis). Esta disparidad exige interpretar los resultados con cautela.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (34 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -2.19%E -0.990%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-10-12 20:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.19%E -0.990%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-12 16:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-12 19:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-12 19:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-10-12 20:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 17:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -3.07%E -1.40%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-12 17:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -3.07%E -1.40%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-10-12 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.40%E -2.04%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.80%E -3.43%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 20:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.40%E -2.04%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.80%E -3.43%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-12 20:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-12 20:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-12 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-12 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 19:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 16:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 19:18 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 16:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 20:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-12 20:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 17:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 17:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-12 17:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.34%E -0.756%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-12 20:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.34%E -0.756%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-12 20:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-12 16:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-12 19:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-12 19:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-12 20:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-12 20:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-12 20:43 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -10.15%E -5.00%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-12 20:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 0.6% | 2026-10-12 20:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 1.1% | 2026-10-12 17:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14% | 1.8% | 2026-10-12 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14% | 1.8% | 2026-10-12 20:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.1% | 2026-10-12 16:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 45.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22% | 9.8% | 2026-10-12 20:45 |
Otros corredores — no incluidos en el análisis (17)
Estos corredores ofrecen un número de opciones distinto para el mercado y, por ello, quedan excluidos del análisis. Sus momios se muestran únicamente como referencia: las reglas de liquidación de esas apuestas pueden ser diferentes e introducen incertidumbre adicional.
| Corredor | Opción 1 | Opción 2 | Opción 3 | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-10-12 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-10-12 17:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-10-12 17:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82% | 3.1% | 2026-10-12 17:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.77% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 22.18% | 3.2% | 2026-10-12 20:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.76% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.03% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22% | 4.7% | 2026-10-12 20:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 17:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 17:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68% | 5.0% | 2026-10-12 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.02% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.98% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99% | 5.7% | 2026-10-12 19:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.40% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97% | 6.2% | 2026-10-12 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21% | 7.2% | 2026-10-12 20:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41% | 8.9% | 2026-10-12 19:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67% | 9.9% | 2026-10-12 20:44 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.39% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.99% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62% | 16.3% | 2026-10-12 20:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.05% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.93% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.02% | 16.5% | 2026-10-12 20:44 |