默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Blackhawks v Pittsburgh Penguins

2026-10-14 00:10 UTC — NHL

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

44%

56%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chicago Blackhawks (主队)

预测 44.26%2.26公平赔率

EV -2.19%

优势 -0.990%

Kelly -1.81%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.21

博彩公司预测分布

43.15%44.38%44.29%45.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.032.142.152.2149.26%46.70%46.51%45.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Pittsburgh Penguins (客队)

预测 55.74%1.79公平赔率

EV -1.34%

优势 -0.756%

Kelly -1.74%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.77

博彩公司预测分布

54.23%55.62%55.71%56.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.671.721.731.7759.88%58.04%57.80%56.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Chicago Blackhawks (主队)：44.26%；Pittsburgh Penguins (客队)：55.74%。对于“Pittsburgh Penguins (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.79。没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率：当前最佳赔率为1.77，期望值为-1.34%，未产生正期望值。

有 17 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -2.19%E -0.990%K -1.81%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%	2.7%	2026-10-12 20:39
Caesars🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -2.19%E -0.990%K -1.81%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-12 16:19
GTbets🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-10-12 19:14
Bovada🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-10-12 19:14
theScore Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-10-12 20:34
DraftKings🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-12 17:29
Fliff🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.63%E -1.20%K -2.19%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.91%E -4.14%K -10.32%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-12 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -3.07%E -1.40%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-10-12 17:34
LowVig.ag🎯	2.19I 45.66%NM 44.27%EV -3.07%E -1.40%K -2.58%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.73%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-10-12 17:34
NordicBet🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.40%E -2.04%K -3.79%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.80%E -3.43%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-12 20:29
Betsson🎯	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.40%E -2.04%K -3.79%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.80%E -3.43%K -8.40%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-10-12 20:29
Bet Right🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-10-12 20:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-10-12 17:00
BetUS🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.01%E -1.73%K -4.07%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-10-12 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-12 19:19
Coral🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-12 19:20
Fanatics🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-12 16:30
BetMGM🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.68%E -2.74%K -6.60%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-12 19:18
Betr (AU)🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-12 16:19
PlayUp🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-12 20:29
TAB🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.84%E -2.25%K -4.21%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-10-12 20:29
FanDuel🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-12 17:35
BetRivers🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-12 17:29
betPARX🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-12 17:30
Bally Bet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.17%E -2.91%K -5.51%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-10-12 17:29
Paddy Power🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.34%E -0.756%K -1.74%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-12 20:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.34%E -0.756%K -1.74%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-10-12 20:04
William Hill🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-12 16:09
Neds🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-12 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.06%E -3.36%K -6.42%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-10-12 19:19
SportsBet🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -7.94%E -3.82%K -7.35%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -2.45%E -1.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-10-12 20:34
Bet Victor🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-10-12 20:49
betano_uk🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -9.27%E -4.52%K -8.83%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -3.57%E -2.06%K -4.89%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-10-12 20:43
ReBet🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -10.15%E -5.00%K -9.86%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -5.24%E -3.08%K -7.49%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-10-12 20:44

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Novig◎	2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%	0.6%	2026-10-12 20:29
Polymarket◎	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%	1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%	1.1%	2026-10-12 17:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%	1.8%	2026-10-12 20:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%	1.8%	2026-10-12 20:29
Kalshi◎	2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%	2.1%	2026-10-12 16:35
Smarkets◎	1.99I 50.25%NM 45.78%	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.22%	9.8%	2026-10-12 20:45

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (17)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%	3.1%	2026-10-12 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%	3.1%	2026-10-12 17:29
ATG (SE)🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%	3.1%	2026-10-12 17:29
Svenska Spel🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 33.68%	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.50%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.82%	3.1%	2026-10-12 17:30
1xBet🎯	2.87I 34.84%NM 33.77%	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.05%	4.37I 22.88%NM 22.18%	3.2%	2026-10-12 20:44
Marathon Bet🎯	2.83I 35.34%NM 33.76%	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.03%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%	4.7%	2026-10-12 20:44
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%	5.0%	2026-10-12 17:30
Grosvenor🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%	5.0%	2026-10-12 17:29
Casumo🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%	5.0%	2026-10-12 17:30
Unibet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.02%	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.68%	5.0%	2026-10-12 17:30
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.02%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.98%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%	5.7%	2026-10-12 19:25
TABtouch🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.63%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.40%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%	6.2%	2026-10-12 17:30
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.68I 37.31%NM 34.81%	2.17I 46.08%NM 42.99%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%	7.2%	2026-10-12 20:44
Codere (IT)🎯	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%	2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%	8.9%	2026-10-12 19:24
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.33%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.67%	9.9%	2026-10-12 20:44
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 34.39%	2.00I 50.00%NM 42.99%	3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%	16.3%	2026-10-12 20:45
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 35.05%	2.00I 50.00%NM 42.93%	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.02%	16.5%	2026-10-12 20:44