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Carolina Hurricanes v Philadelphia Flyers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Carolina Hurricanes (Local)
Prediction 70.13%1.43fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.794%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.44%70.00%70.18%71.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.361.361.4180.00%73.26%73.53%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Philadelphia Flyers (Visit)
Prediction 29.87%3.35fair odd
EV +0.072%
Edge +0.021%
Kelly +0.031%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%30.00%29.82%32.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.153.203.3534.48%31.73%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Carolina Hurricanes (Local): 70.13%; Philadelphia Flyers (Visit): 29.87%. For Philadelphia Flyers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.348. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.350, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.072%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.072%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.03%E -4.50%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.42%E -0.431%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -2.02%E -0.616%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 23:08 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.52%E -1.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -2.92%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.92%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.92%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.92%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -3.81%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -2.52%E -1.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -2.52%E -1.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.92%E -2.86%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.92%E -2.86%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.92%E -2.86%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -5.01%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.40%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 23:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 23:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -1.12%E -0.794%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -9.79%E -3.24%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 22:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.38%EV -12.34%E -9.87%K -49.36%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.62%EV -11.28%E -3.80%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-04 23:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.82%E -1.30%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-04 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -6.73%E -5.06%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.42% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 29.58% | 0.0% | 2026-05-04 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 3.2% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.01% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.01% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.01% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.01% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.99% | 4.5% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.92% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.51% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.57% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 22:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98% | 5.9% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 22:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15% | 7.4% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23% | 12.1% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |