L’École des cotesCarolina Hurricanes v Philadelphia Flyers
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Carolina Hurricanes (Local)
Prévision 70.13%1.43cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.794%
Kelly -2.73%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.41
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.44%70.00%70.18%71.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.361.361.4180.00%73.26%73.53%70.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Philadelphia Flyers (Visiteur)
Prévision 29.87%3.35cote équitable
EV +0.072%
Avantage +0.021%
Kelly +0.031%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.88%30.00%29.82%32.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.153.203.3534.48%31.73%31.25%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
21 opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché (3 issues, contre le format 2 issues retenu dans l’analyse). Cette disparité impose d’interpréter les résultats avec prudence.
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.072%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Fliff | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.03%E -4.50%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.42%E -0.431%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Caesars | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -2.02%E -0.616%K -0.886%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 23:08 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.52%E -1.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -2.92%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.92%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.92%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Bovada | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.92%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -3.81%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -2.52%E -1.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -2.52%E -1.81%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.92%E -2.86%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| GTbets | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.92%E -2.86%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| Bet Right | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.92%E -2.86%K -10.61%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Coral | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| Fanatics | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Bally Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| BetUS | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -5.01%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| PlayUp | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.40%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 23:04 |
| Betsson | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 23:05 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-04 23:00 |
| Neds | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -1.12%E -0.794%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -9.79%E -3.24%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-04 22:59 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-04 23:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.38%EV -12.34%E -9.87%K -49.36%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.62%EV -11.28%E -3.80%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-04 23:00 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.82%E -1.30%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-04 22:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -6.73%E -5.06%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (9)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.42% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 29.58% | 0.0% | 2026-05-04 22:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Polymarket | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Kalshi | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Novig | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| ProphetX | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| Matchbook | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77% | 3.2% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
Autres opérateurs — hors analyse (21)
Ces opérateurs proposent un nombre d’options différent pour ce marché et sont exclus de l’analyse. Leurs cotes sont données uniquement à titre indicatif : leurs règles de règlement peuvent différer et créer une incertitude supplémentaire.
| Opérateur | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.01% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.01% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.01% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.52% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.01% | 3.5% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.99% | 4.5% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 22:59 |
| 1xBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.92% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.51% | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.57% | 4.6% | 2026-05-04 22:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Casumo | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Unibet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05% | 5.6% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98% | 5.9% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93% | 6.0% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75% | 6.9% | 2026-05-04 22:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15% | 7.4% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07% | 7.9% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.17% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29% | 8.0% | 2026-05-04 23:09 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23% | 12.1% | 2026-05-04 23:10 |