La scuola delle quote

Carolina Hurricanes v Philadelphia Flyers

Inizio: 2026-05-04 23:16 UTC

Finale: Carolina Hurricanes 3–2 Philadelphia Flyers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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36 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Carolina Hurricanes (Casa)

Previsione 70.13%1.43quota equa
EV -1.12%
Vantaggio -0.794%
Kelly -2.73%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.41

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
67.44%70.00%70.18%71.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.251.361.361.4180.00%73.26%73.53%70.92%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Philadelphia Flyers (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.87%3.35quota equa
EV +0.072%
Vantaggio +0.021%
Kelly +0.031%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.88%30.00%29.82%32.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.153.203.3534.48%31.73%31.25%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

21 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%EV +0.072%E +0.021%K +0.031%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-04 23:10
Fliff1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.03%E -4.50%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -1.42%E -0.431%K -0.618%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-04 23:10
Caesars1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -2.02%E -0.616%K -0.886%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-04 23:08
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 70.04%EV -2.52%E -1.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.96%EV -2.92%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-04 23:10
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.92%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.92%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 23:10
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.92%E -0.897%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-04 23:09
SportsBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -3.81%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:10
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -2.52%E -1.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-04 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -2.52%E -1.81%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-04 23:10
DraftKings1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.92%E -2.86%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:10
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.92%E -2.86%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:09
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.92%E -2.86%K -10.61%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:10
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:10
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:10
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:09
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:10
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:10
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:10
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-04 23:09
Betr (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.33%E -3.95%K -15.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -4.41%E -1.38%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-04 23:09
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -5.01%E -1.57%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-04 23:09
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.90%E -1.87%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-04 23:09
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.40%E -2.39%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 23:10
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:04
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:05
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -8.59%E -2.81%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-04 23:00
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.89%E -2.91%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-04 23:10
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -1.12%E -0.794%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -9.79%E -3.24%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-04 22:59
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.22%E -2.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 23:04
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.63%E -3.40%K -12.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.38%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-04 23:10
NetBet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 70.38%EV -12.34%E -9.87%K -49.36%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.62%EV -11.28%E -3.80%K -5.73%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-04 23:00
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.82%E -1.30%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-04 22:59
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -6.73%E -5.06%K -20.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -13.37%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-04 23:09
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (9)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
BetOpenly1.42I 70.42%NM 70.42%3.38I 29.59%NM 29.58%0.0%2026-05-04 22:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-04 23:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%0.7%2026-05-04 23:10
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-05-04 23:10
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-05-04 23:10
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-05-04 23:10
ProphetX1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-05-04 23:10
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-05-04 23:09
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%3.2%2026-05-04 23:10

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (21)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Opzione 3Margine ▲Aggiornamento
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.01%3.5%2026-05-04 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.01%3.5%2026-05-04 23:10
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.01%3.5%2026-05-04 23:10
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.01%3.5%2026-05-04 23:10
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.99%4.5%2026-05-04 23:10
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.72%4.6%2026-05-04 22:59
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.92%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.51%4.43I 22.57%NM 21.57%4.6%2026-05-04 22:59
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.27%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.93%5.0%2026-05-04 23:10
Casumo1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%5.6%2026-05-04 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%5.6%2026-05-04 23:10
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%5.6%2026-05-04 23:10
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.53%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%5.6%2026-05-04 23:10
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%5.9%2026-05-04 23:10
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%6.0%2026-05-04 23:10
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.86%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%6.6%2026-05-04 23:10
Unibet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.75%6.9%2026-05-04 22:59
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 57.45%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%7.4%2026-05-04 23:10
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%7.5%2026-05-04 23:10
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%7.9%2026-05-04 23:10
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%8.0%2026-05-04 23:09
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.23%12.1%2026-05-04 23:10